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Wednesday, 07 October 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Sale and Purchase activity during the first three quarters of 2015 and more specifically during the summer season has been rather remarkable. 421 vessels, totaling 30 million dwt, changed hands in the period between June and August 2015, while in the same period last year, 304 vessels, totaling 17.8 million dwt, were sold. The increase is significant and we generally see a pretty good momentum in the number of sales as well as an increase in sale candidates at the moment.
What is also quite notable is that this year kicked off with heavy scrapping activity. As a matter of fact, during the first half of 2015 strong demo sales seemed to be laying the groundwork for a record year of scrapping, however signs of a slowdown during Q3, have now considerably lowered expectation for the year’s final figure. 739 vessels of 31million dwt were scrapped during the period Jan-Sep 2015, while 594 of these ships were sold for demo during Jan-Jun 2015. This clearly shows that activity has slowed down compared to the first half of the year.
The heavy scrapping activity that was witnessed in the first six months of 2015 was almost solely attributed to dry bulk vessels that amidst exceptionally poor rates headed for scrap in high volumes. In the first half of the year, 265 dry bulk vessels (above 20,000dwt) were scrapped, while in the entire of 2014 we count 267 vessels (above 20,000dwt) sent for demo. The case of 15-yr bulkers being sent for scrap was more than often during both Q1 and Q2, while as rates started finding a more stable foot in the beginning of the summer season, dry bulk owners of older tonnage quickly distanced themselves from the demolition option.
On the other hand and with regards to the volume of tankers that have been scrapped so far in 2015, we note that this is minimal. 68 Tankers were scrapped during the first half of the year and only 10 during the third quarter. The booming daily rates in the sector this year, have after a prolonged period of intense volatility and disappointing performance, provided tanker owners with renewed hope, while lower demolition prices have also deterred owners of tankers above their scrapping age, to hold back a little while longer. Last year, a total of 669 tankers, totaling 9.9mil dwt were sent for scrap, while this year, in the period Jan-Sep we count 314 tankers of around 2.57mil dwt.
Average demolition prices offered today are around 300 – 320 $/ton, while last year they were ranging between 400-420usd/ton. In the case of a VLCC, of about 37,000 tons lightweight, today’s demo prices translate to $3-4 million less per ship sold. Adding to that the fact that VLCC rates have soared to above $ 100,000/day in the past three weeks, there is absolutely no argument for scrapping at the moment.
If freight rates remain around or close to current levels, it will make good sense for all of the 21 VLs built between 1995 and 1996, which have reached or are about to reach their 20th year and 4th SS/DD, to get their 5 year extension. Overall sentiment remains bullish for the sector, while with Saudi Crude Production expected to stay at levels well above 10 million barrels/day, and the winter season approaching, the arguments for firm demand and negligible scrapping in the following months remain plenty.
By John N. Cotzias
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 15 October 15
INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE FALLS FOR SEVEN STRAIGHT MONTH IN OCTOBER
COALspot.com - The Director General of Mineral and Coal of Indonesia once a again revised down Indonesian coal benchmark price this month.
The ...
Thursday, 15 October 15
Q1' 16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP ADVANCED 2 PER CENT WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q4' 2015 gain week over week and declined month over month.
The Q4 swap was dow ...
Tuesday, 13 October 15
DRY BULK SHIPPING FLEET NET EXPANSION WAS 1.3% DURING THIRD QUARTER, BUT ORDERBOOK REDUCED TO 17% OF THE TRADING FLEET
If the dry bulk market is to rebound on a sustainable level, it needs to limit the tonnage expansion, at least until demand picks up again, as Chin ...
Tuesday, 13 October 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP DECLINED 2 PER CENT MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q4’ 2015 delivery decreased $0.46 per ton (1.08%) month over month to US$ 42.17 per ton. The ...
Monday, 12 October 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS GAIN W-W; SLIGHTLY DOWN M-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down just US cents 3 (0.06 %) per ton month over month.
A commodity ...
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- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- The University of Queensland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
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