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Wednesday, 05 August 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
 On July 14th, 2015 a historical consensus was reached in Vienna between Iran and the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council, plus Germany (P5+1), to eliminate Tehran’s nuclear program in return for lifting international oil and financial sanctions. The US-Iran deal is the most important breakthrough in their bilateral relationship since 1979, when the Iranian revolution disturbed their relations. In particular, Iran has agreed not to produce any plutonium enriched weapons and additional heavy water reactors for 15 years. The assurance that Iran is satisfying the deal’s commitments will be granted through an extensive UN inspection and observation under the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). It is discussed that assessments and transparency measures may remain in place for as long as 25 years. Expressly, President Obama stated that “this relief will be phased in. Iran must complete key nuclear steps before it begins to receive sanctions relief.”
The markets are already looking towards the challenges, options and prospects that will emerge with the deal being signed. Notably, oil prices fell due to investors’ expectations of an increase in oil exports from Iran to an already oversupplied market. It is estimated that Iran could supply an extra 200k-400k bpd of crude in 2016 on top of a release of 20-40 million barrels from floating storage. The NIOC Managing Director states that if there is enough demand, it is estimated that production could increase by 500k-600k bpd reaching its pre-sanctions level of 4 million bpd within 6 to 12 months. Furthermore, China’s economy is witnessing a growth slow down, while global oil production is close to record highs and thus traders weigh the risk of oil prices possibly falling further.
Furthermore, the agreement will gradually benefit companies that transport Iranian Oil. Once the EU ban on insuring tankers carrying Iranian crude is lifted, imports to countries such as India and Turkey will be comforted and will promote the purchase of contracted volumes. Iran has traditionally been India’s second-largest supplier of crude oil and the prospect of lifting sanctions will also facilitate Pakistan to complete the Iran-Pakistan pipeline. Moreover, it would again be legal for P&I insurance clubs and companies that cover shipowners for several risks to insure Iranian oil cargoes.
Likewise, it is estimated that lifting petrochemical sanctions will permit $1 billion in exports for Iran. The increase in Iranian supplies of oil and gas would trickle down to Europe’s chemical industry, creating a potential game changer for energy-intensive businesses. A traditional player is coming back into the market and preeminently needs to sell, therefore chemical plants of Europe will definitely benefit. Energy companies from Royal Dutch Shell to BP commented after the deal was signed that they were examining their options in a post-sanctions Iran, where production and export potential could expand with the appropriate investment strategies.
Decades of sanctions have inevitably affected the local population and Iranian political setup. With the prospect of sanctions being lifted, Iran’s economic potential will allow for numerous opportunities not only for Iran but also for the wider region, which will directly translate into an increased influence in the Middle East. More importantly, the deal will have some prompt and long-term influence both on global and regional level. The deal will bring out Iran from international isolation. Nevertheless, Iran will have to wait for almost a year to yield the financial returns of the deal, while the six major world powers will most probably reap the benefits of the lower cost of oil immediately.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 23 March 15
SEABORNE WORLD COAL TRADE: GROWTH +5% - GERMAN COAL IMPORTER ASSOCIATION
Hard Coal Market 2014: Despite The Energy Turnaround, Hard Coal Imports To Germany Rise By More Than 6%, Although Hard Coal-Fired Power Generation ...
Sunday, 22 March 15
DRY BULK RATES CONTINUED TO RISE THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market was steady this week as all the segments increased after many weeks of weak trend.
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) ...
Friday, 20 March 15
HARD COAL MARKET 2014: DESPITE THE ENERGY TURNAROUND, HARD COAL IMPORTS TO GERMANY RISE BY MORE THAN 6% (PART 1)
Hard Coal Market 2014: Despite The Energy Turnaround, Hard Coal Imports To Germany Rise By More Than 6%, Although Hard Coal-Fired Power Generation ...
Friday, 20 March 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION SHOWS 5.9% INCREASE WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.5 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 19 March 15
HANDY: INDO COAL CARGOS DESTINED FOR INDIA BEING FIXED IN REGION OF $ 7-8K - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Handy and Supra market has had a week with mixed signals. Although we see more activity in both hemispheres the rates are only up about ...
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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