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Wednesday, 05 August 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
 On July 14th, 2015 a historical consensus was reached in Vienna between Iran and the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council, plus Germany (P5+1), to eliminate Tehran’s nuclear program in return for lifting international oil and financial sanctions. The US-Iran deal is the most important breakthrough in their bilateral relationship since 1979, when the Iranian revolution disturbed their relations. In particular, Iran has agreed not to produce any plutonium enriched weapons and additional heavy water reactors for 15 years. The assurance that Iran is satisfying the deal’s commitments will be granted through an extensive UN inspection and observation under the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). It is discussed that assessments and transparency measures may remain in place for as long as 25 years. Expressly, President Obama stated that “this relief will be phased in. Iran must complete key nuclear steps before it begins to receive sanctions relief.”
The markets are already looking towards the challenges, options and prospects that will emerge with the deal being signed. Notably, oil prices fell due to investors’ expectations of an increase in oil exports from Iran to an already oversupplied market. It is estimated that Iran could supply an extra 200k-400k bpd of crude in 2016 on top of a release of 20-40 million barrels from floating storage. The NIOC Managing Director states that if there is enough demand, it is estimated that production could increase by 500k-600k bpd reaching its pre-sanctions level of 4 million bpd within 6 to 12 months. Furthermore, China’s economy is witnessing a growth slow down, while global oil production is close to record highs and thus traders weigh the risk of oil prices possibly falling further.
Furthermore, the agreement will gradually benefit companies that transport Iranian Oil. Once the EU ban on insuring tankers carrying Iranian crude is lifted, imports to countries such as India and Turkey will be comforted and will promote the purchase of contracted volumes. Iran has traditionally been India’s second-largest supplier of crude oil and the prospect of lifting sanctions will also facilitate Pakistan to complete the Iran-Pakistan pipeline. Moreover, it would again be legal for P&I insurance clubs and companies that cover shipowners for several risks to insure Iranian oil cargoes.
Likewise, it is estimated that lifting petrochemical sanctions will permit $1 billion in exports for Iran. The increase in Iranian supplies of oil and gas would trickle down to Europe’s chemical industry, creating a potential game changer for energy-intensive businesses. A traditional player is coming back into the market and preeminently needs to sell, therefore chemical plants of Europe will definitely benefit. Energy companies from Royal Dutch Shell to BP commented after the deal was signed that they were examining their options in a post-sanctions Iran, where production and export potential could expand with the appropriate investment strategies.
Decades of sanctions have inevitably affected the local population and Iranian political setup. With the prospect of sanctions being lifted, Iran’s economic potential will allow for numerous opportunities not only for Iran but also for the wider region, which will directly translate into an increased influence in the Middle East. More importantly, the deal will have some prompt and long-term influence both on global and regional level. The deal will bring out Iran from international isolation. Nevertheless, Iran will have to wait for almost a year to yield the financial returns of the deal, while the six major world powers will most probably reap the benefits of the lower cost of oil immediately.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 25 March 15
MARKET INSIGHT: TANKER CHARTERING - KATERINA RESTIS
The 1st of January 2015, as broadly reported, denoted the beginning date of new and progressive emission regulations for vessels operating within t ...
Wednesday, 25 March 15
AUSTRALIA SET TO ONCE AGAIN BE THE WORLD'S LARGEST COAL EXPORTER - COAL, MINERALS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA
Greg Evans, Executive Director - Coal, Minerals Council of Australia
Media Release: The latest Resources and Energy Quarterly published by the ...
Wednesday, 25 March 15
AUSTRALIA UPSTREAM ENERGY FIRMS FACE RISING OIL PRICE EXPOSURE - FITCH
Fitch Ratings says the Australian oil and gas companies involved in exploration and production face higher exposure to oil price-linked revenues, w ...
Wednesday, 25 March 15
2014 : UK COAL IMPORTS DECLINED 17%; GERMANY COAL IMPORTS UP 6%
Hard Coal Market 2014: Despite The Energy Turnaround, Hard Coal Imports To Germany Rise By More Than 6%, Although Hard Coal-Fired Power Generation ...
Tuesday, 24 March 15
A WEAK WEEK FOR FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 drop month on month and week over week.
The Q2 swap fell US$ 2.48 (5.12%) month ...
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- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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