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Wednesday, 24 June 15
PANAMAXES: THE OUTLOOK REMAINS NEGATIVE AS DEMAND FOR COAL IS DIMINISHING - YANNIS OLZIERSKY
 As we get closer to the end of June, we can safely say that the 1st half of the year is leaving the dry bulk market with a bitter taste that we all wish to forget. The BDI was fluctuating around its lowest point ever recorded for the entire first half. The last two weeks though have given a much needed lift to the market, which nonetheless will need further momentum to make some actual difference in both sentiment and returns. Whether this momentum will be found in order to stabilize market rates at least above OPEX, is something that is hard to predict. However, and since we are coming out of the "dusk" of H1 and slowly moving towards the "dawn" of H2, a recap in titles could be of interest to our readers.
Starting with Capers, levels are currently at the highest point since January. With the Chinese iron ore inventories at their lowest point since November 2013 and with the price of iron ore at slightly above $60/ton, a mild recovery in terms of traded volume is expected. On the supply side, heavy demolition activity in H1 (more than 10mill dwt have been demolished since the beginning of the year) together with slippage, cancellation and conversions of dry bulk orders to tankers or containers, is restricting the growth of an already oversupplied market. On the other hand, China’s decision to support Vale’s iron ore expansion plan, may lead to an increase in iron ore supply. One would think that such decision would help the market recover on the back of tonne miles increase, however since most of Vale's transported iron ore will be shipped in Valemax ships the positive effect on rates will be hard to materialize.
On the Panamaxes, although rates have not seen today's levels since December 2014, the outlook remains negative as demand for coal is diminishing. Environmental concerns in many nations and especially in China have pushed towards usage of cleaner resources of energy. As a result, coal imports have declined significantly YoY and a revival is hard to be expected despite the fact that other big economies like India are increasing demand but doing so in a more moderated level. On the other hand, some support could be founded in the grain market on the back of the increased production of exporting countries like US, Canada and Brazil.
On the smaller sizes, Supramaxes have found support in the Atlantic thanks to grains and petcoke cargoes. India's high petcoke imports from the US have helped increase tonne miles in the sector, while in the Pacific, rates are also correcting upwards on the back of bauxite and nickel ore imports, with China being behind most of the latter. Handysizes are also trying to take advantage of the increase of shipments of both grains and other minor bulk commodities, however the impact on freights is moderate as charterers prefer to use bigger vessels for the transportation of commodities, especially for the Transatlantic trade.
In general, the market is being in doldrums and nothing exciting should be expected during the next couple of months, some spikes could give glimpses of hope. However, the next big thing will most probably be the fourth quarter of this year, a time when the market is traditionally advancing. What will happen this year remains to be seen with great interest. Therefore from the “dusk” of H1 till the “dawn” of the H2 nothing really crazy should be expected, apart maybe from some humans turning into vampires somewhere in a bar close to the Mexican borders...
By Yannis Olziersky
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 17 June 15
PANAMAX RATE AVERAGED $22.82 PMT IN THE FIRST 10 DAYS OF JUNE FOR THE GRAIN ROUTE FROM SANTOS, BRAZIL, TO QINGDAO, CHINA - INTERMODAL
This year, Brazil will be exporting a record 96 million tons of soybean crop and starting in August the country will begin shipping a second corn c ...
Tuesday, 16 June 15
MERS: POTENTIAL CHARTERPARTY IMPLICATIONS - CLYDE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
South Korea's current outbreak of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) has been the focus of much international at ...
Tuesday, 16 June 15
Q3 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP PRICE DOWN 50 CENTS OVER PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q3 2015 gains month on month but declined week over week, this past week.
The Q3 swap was clim ...
Tuesday, 16 June 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS: PRICES MOVED UP ON THE WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q3' 2015 rose month over month and week over week.
The Q3 swap was up US$ 1.70 ...
Monday, 15 June 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP: Q1'16 DELIVERY CLOSED 1.14% LOWER THAN Q4'15 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery up $ 1.10 per MT (2.47%) month over month to US$ 45.67 per mt. The swap ...
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- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
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