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Friday, 29 May 15
DRY BULK MARKET IS THE VICTIM OF A SHIFT IN DEMAND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 The fall in dry bulk freight rates is attributed, in large part, to the substantial decrease of China’s thermal coal imports, a major commodity trade in the past, combined with the large supply base of dry bulk carriers, in need of employment. At the same time, as shipbroker Allied Shipbroking pointed out in its latest weekly analysis, the rise of new markets for coal, such as India, isn’t happening as fast as the market needs to recover.
Allied noted that thermal coal was plagued “by an increasing amount of strict environmental policies on a global scale and a rapid drop in prices of competing fuels, in effect seeing its seaborne trade sag ever since mid-2013. The main country which has influenced this drop in demand has been China, which has taken a strict approach on curbing its consumption, in an effort to overturn the level of air pollution in its major cities. Yet as things looked to be in their most dire, we have started to see a new giant emerge amongst the major thermal coal imports. India has rapidly taken up the role of bringing up the market, wishing to take advantage of this excess supply that has become available in the market and at the same time feeding its growth needs with this relatively cheap energy source”.
George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking noted that “as things stand now, India is set to see an 11% increase in its imports, rising from 180 million tonnes in 2014 up to a forecast of around 200 million tonnes for 2015 according to statements by consultancy group Venerable Energy Solutions. Things look even more optimistic as expectations are now for a rise in India’s imports of thermal coal of up to 250 million tonnes within the next 3-4 years based on the current domestic supply situation as well as its growing consumption levels. This is an equivalent of an increase of around 39% from its 2014 levels, something which would not only make it the world’s largest importer of thermal coal but a main driver in demand for thermal coal’s seaborne trade. This is not even the most bullish of estimations being thrown around in the market, with commodities trader Glencore having put a forecast for India’s thermal coal imports to rise up to 300m tonnes by 2020. While some may see these as fairly optimistic forecasts, especially as rumours circulate of an enhanced availability of domestically sourced coal and a gradual cutting back of India’s reliance on thermal coal as well, there might be some truth in the more imminent market prospects as its demand will certainly dictate a strong growth rate up until 2017″, he noted in his analysis.
Meanwhile, “at the other end of the spectrum you have China, a country which has already cut back on in its imports since 2013, making an immediate effect with its absence which was especially well noted via dry bulk freight rate conditions in the Pacific basin. This trend has shown to continue at an equal magnitude this year, with Chinese imports already set to close at an annual decline of over 23% (or equivalent to 52 million tonnes from the 229 million tonnes imported in 2014 according to the International Energy Agency). This still leaves a market wanting, as the math still indicates to a combined import volume that is notably weaker than that of 2014. At the same time, and although India’s demand is set to strengthen, China’s demand for thermal coal imports is expected to continue its sharp drop over the coming years, leaving the market with an ever increasing gap to fill”, Lazaridis said.
He concluded his argument by noting that “the positive side to see is that China’s retreat on some of the major trading dry bulk commodities is already starting to be countered by the new and upcoming behemoths of economic growth. On the negative side, the transition is not happening nearly as fast as would be needed to keep the freight market buoyant and although new trade matrices might benefit the overall tonne-mile demand, all indications continue to point to a slower pace in growth in demand for these major dry bulk commodities”.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 26 May 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP; UP WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q3 2015 gains week over week and lost month on month, this past week.
The Q3 swap was declined ...
Monday, 25 May 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP Q1'16 CLOSED LOWER THAN Q3'15 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery gained US$ 0.92 per MT (2.07%) month over month and US$ 0.70 week on week. ...
Monday, 25 May 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP : Q3, Q4'15 & Q1'16 INCREASED M-O-M AND W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery up US$ 1.55 (3.09%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.72 (1.41%) pe ...
Sunday, 24 May 15
INDONESIA TO INDIA PANAMAX CHARTER RATES WERE RATING AT AROUND US$ 5500
COALspot.com: The freight market softened in all segments this past week.
The BDI was dropped 7.57 percent week over week and closed at 586 po ...
Friday, 22 May 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL Q3'15 SWAP FINISHED THE WEEK UP 38 CENTS TO $43.65 PER MT
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q3 2015 gains week over week and lost month on month, past week.
The Q3 swap was declined US$ ...
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- The University of Queensland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Coal Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
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