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Wednesday, 08 April 15
CHINA BURNS HALF OF THE WORLD'S COAL - CHRISTOPHER T. WHITTY
Intermodal Weekly Market Update
China is the world's largest consumer of coal, using more coal each year than the United States, the European Union, and Japan combined. Coal power has been the dominant source of energy used to fuel the rapid economic development of China in the past two decades, with significant impact on its physical environment and human population. China relies on coal power for approximately 70-80% of its energy, with 45% used for the industrial sector and the remainder used to generate electricity. Nevertheless, China has been slowly entering into a new era where clean-fuel policies and new regulations are being implemented.
China burns half of the world’s coal and has caused more than half of total CO2 growth globally for the past decade, and many believe that the reversal in coal use may represent a significant progress in slowing down climate change. According to the China Electricity Council, utilization rates at China’s thermal power plants fired by coal, natural gas and oil, are set to fall further this year. Beijing is aiming to raise the share of non-fossil fuels in primary energy use to 15% in 2020, up from 11.2%last year.
Lower coal use is already evident in China with power companies using a greater mix of hydro, nuclear and renewable options, especially wind. China’s coal imports fell 11% in 2014 compared to the previous year, the first annual decline in at least a decade. Lignite, thermal and metallurgical coal, hit a 43-month low of 16.78 million mt in January, falling 53.2% year on year – the seventh consecutive year-on-year decline and the biggest decline in the past 15 years.
The Australian and Indonesian coal exporters are obviously focusing on the world’s largest consumer of the fuel and they also have to deal with the quality checks under the new ash and Sulphur restrictions. As a result of this uncertainty, some are even holding back shipments to China.
Australian coal, which is considered the benchmark for Asia, slumped 30% last year and dropped below $60/tonne this month, the lowest level since May 2007. With both imports and prices of the commodity falling further and unless something changes dramatically in the future, it looks like coal will lose its position in the fossil fuel markets. As a result, freight rates for Panamaxes and Kamsarmaxes will most likely continue to be adversely affected.
Some say that the Indian market will still exhibit wide scale demand for the continued importing of coal at a large scale but, on the other hand, they will never push up prices. Indian power plants have their own limitations and they are not free to pass any rise in coal prices through to consumers. Still, in Indian East Coast ports coal stockpiles are rising up to record levels and the power plants are only buying as much as required from these huge reserves in major ports. Coal stocks at 16 main Indian ports were at 16.48 million metric tons as of March 20, whereas at the end of March last year, coal stocks were a mere 7.7 million metric tons.
From our side we can only hope that Asian countries and mainly China will continue to depend on coal at least for the next couple of years. It should take considerable time for China’s transition to more clean sources of energy to run its power plants. But on top of that we would also like to see the price of the commodity at sustainable levels that can support the industry and consequently demand for seaborne trade.
Christopher T. Whitty
Marketing Manager - Harbour Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 07 April 15
Q3 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 55.96 PMT; DOWN 8.40% M-M
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 declined month over month and week on week.
The Q2 swap has declined U ...
Monday, 06 April 15
INDONESIA'S HBA FIXED AT US$ 64.48 PMT FOR APRIL DELIVERY; DOWN 4.84% M-M
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down Indonesian coal benchmark prices to US$ 64.48 per MT in Apr ...
Monday, 06 April 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP DECLINED 12% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 6.23 per MT (-12%) month over month and US$ 0.86 (-1.85%) week ...
Monday, 06 April 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FALL CONTINUES
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 5.96 (-10.37%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.98 (- ...
Sunday, 05 April 15
FREIGHT RATES UNDER PRESSURE WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The Indices fell on all segments and the market seemed to soften this week.
The BDI was almost lost 1.34% week over week and clo ...
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- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The University of Queensland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
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