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Wednesday, 08 April 15
CHINA BURNS HALF OF THE WORLD'S COAL - CHRISTOPHER T. WHITTY
Intermodal Weekly Market Update
China is the world's largest consumer of coal, using more coal each year than the United States, the European Union, and Japan combined. Coal power has been the dominant source of energy used to fuel the rapid economic development of China in the past two decades, with significant impact on its physical environment and human population. China relies on coal power for approximately 70-80% of its energy, with 45% used for the industrial sector and the remainder used to generate electricity. Nevertheless, China has been slowly entering into a new era where clean-fuel policies and new regulations are being implemented.
China burns half of the world’s coal and has caused more than half of total CO2 growth globally for the past decade, and many believe that the reversal in coal use may represent a significant progress in slowing down climate change. According to the China Electricity Council, utilization rates at China’s thermal power plants fired by coal, natural gas and oil, are set to fall further this year. Beijing is aiming to raise the share of non-fossil fuels in primary energy use to 15% in 2020, up from 11.2%last year.
Lower coal use is already evident in China with power companies using a greater mix of hydro, nuclear and renewable options, especially wind. China’s coal imports fell 11% in 2014 compared to the previous year, the first annual decline in at least a decade. Lignite, thermal and metallurgical coal, hit a 43-month low of 16.78 million mt in January, falling 53.2% year on year – the seventh consecutive year-on-year decline and the biggest decline in the past 15 years.
The Australian and Indonesian coal exporters are obviously focusing on the world’s largest consumer of the fuel and they also have to deal with the quality checks under the new ash and Sulphur restrictions. As a result of this uncertainty, some are even holding back shipments to China.
Australian coal, which is considered the benchmark for Asia, slumped 30% last year and dropped below $60/tonne this month, the lowest level since May 2007. With both imports and prices of the commodity falling further and unless something changes dramatically in the future, it looks like coal will lose its position in the fossil fuel markets. As a result, freight rates for Panamaxes and Kamsarmaxes will most likely continue to be adversely affected.
Some say that the Indian market will still exhibit wide scale demand for the continued importing of coal at a large scale but, on the other hand, they will never push up prices. Indian power plants have their own limitations and they are not free to pass any rise in coal prices through to consumers. Still, in Indian East Coast ports coal stockpiles are rising up to record levels and the power plants are only buying as much as required from these huge reserves in major ports. Coal stocks at 16 main Indian ports were at 16.48 million metric tons as of March 20, whereas at the end of March last year, coal stocks were a mere 7.7 million metric tons.
From our side we can only hope that Asian countries and mainly China will continue to depend on coal at least for the next couple of years. It should take considerable time for China’s transition to more clean sources of energy to run its power plants. But on top of that we would also like to see the price of the commodity at sustainable levels that can support the industry and consequently demand for seaborne trade.
Christopher T. Whitty
Marketing Manager - Harbour Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 14 April 15
COAL OUTPUT FALLS AS PRICES CONTINUE TO LAG - JP
Coal output dropped by 21 percent in the first three months of the year as low prices for the commodity forced mining companies to reduce activitie ...
Tuesday, 14 April 15
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS FOR Q4 DELIVERY CRASHES THROUGH $44
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q2 2015 declined month on month and week over week.
The Q2 swap was declined US$ 2.25 (4.77%) ...
Monday, 13 April 15
Q2 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $45.28 PMT; DECLINED 7.50% M-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 3.67 per MT (-7.50%) month over month and US$ 0.39 week on wee ...
Monday, 13 April 15
Q4 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT US$ 50.97
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 4.50 (-8.05%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.12 (-0 ...
Sunday, 12 April 15
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATE IS EXPECTED TO BE SOFT
COALspot.com: The freight market was steady, however the BDI was declined slightly week over week.
BDI dropped 1.36 pct and closed at 580 poin ...
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parliament of New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The University of Queensland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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