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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Monday, 02 February 15
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP PICKS UP W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.81 (-1.36%) per MT month over month and gained US$ 0.18&nb ...
Monday, 02 February 15
SOUTH KOREA'S KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 280K MT OF SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued an new tender to buy total 280,000 MT of Sub-bituminous coal coa ...
Sunday, 01 February 15
INDONESIA-TO-INDIA COAL FREIGHT RATES REMAIN WEAK NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI continued its fall reached lowest levels since 1986 this week.
The BDI declined 15.55 pct to 608 points on Friday 30, Ja ...
Friday, 30 January 15
CONTANGO AND TANKERS - SKULD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Like an invitation to a dance, the word contango may have some people flustered, but for tanker owners this market phenome ...
Friday, 30 January 15
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION REACHED 65.7 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Economic Council, Georgia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Planning Commission, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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