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Thursday, 12 February 15
DRY BULK OWNERS SCRAP MORE VESSELS, AS MARKET REACHES HISTORICAL LOWS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has reached historical lows this week, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) now trading at levels below operating expense levels for most ship owners. In fact, with the FFA markets not showing any positive signs for a possible recovery in the near future, pessimism is still the “name of the game” in the dry bulk market. In its latest report, shipbroker Intermodal noted that “apart from from the existing tonnage surplus, for which we have talked a lot during the last years, anemic global growth and demand for dry bulk commodities have also pushed the BDI to its lowest historical point”.
Attempting to provide some insight as to what factors have contributed to this negative development, Intermodal’s SnP broker, Mr. Yannis Olziersky said that “the decline of coal trade due to low demand from China is causing a big “headache” to Capesize and Panamax owners. Imports to China have been significantly reduced, since the local government is trying to shift away its dependency to coal for electricity production, to other renewable sources of energy. Despite that other countries like India have increased coal imports but that has so far proved inadequate to substitute entirely the fall in Chinese imports. As a result, many Panamaxes and capers, which were engaged in coal trade, are shifting to iron ore trade where in terms of transferred volume we are witnessing a healthy trade growth despite the fact that rates here have also plummeted”.
At the same time, “iron ore exports to China from Australia and Brazil rose as stockpiles in Chinese ports had hit a 12-month low in the beginning of the year. Low iron ore price together with cheap transportation cost and Chinese New Year festivities around the corner is the reason behind the increased volumes of iron ore imports. This increase has helped the Capesize market to slightly pick up from its historical lower point ever recorded in January and witness improved rates, which nonetheless are still far from what could be described as decent”, Olziersky said.
The shipbroker’s analyst added that “headlines regarding the dry bulk market are mostly negative these days, however in this bearish market there are some news which could be interpreted as positive signs, something that market needs since this “crisis” is not only driven by its fundamental problems but also by sentiment. On one hand, iron ore imports could be soon increasing as demand from the Chinese steel industry is expected to rise on the back of the recently announced plan by the Chinese government to invest heavily (around USD1 trillion) in infrastructure projects as an attempt to support growth”.
According to Olziersky, another silver lining could be the fact that “activity in dry bulk demolition activity has increased the last month as a result of declining freight rates. As a matter of fact, in just one month’s time the number of Capesize vessels that was sold for scrap reached the number of Capesizes scrapped during the whole of 2014. Under this freight environment it is very likely that this trend will continue, helping the market alleviate some of the abundant tonnage. Finally, new building activity is declining because of both the current negative environment and also lack of finance to support these projects as a result of this environment. Also some contracted dry projects which have not commenced are now being swapped to wet projects allowing the substantial dry bulk order book to take a much needed breath”.
He concluded his analysis by noting that “a “perfect storm” is currently taking place in the Dry Bulk market. Overcapacity, anemic global growth, lack of demand for dry bulk cargoes and bearish sentiment amongst players, have all come together and pushed the market to its lowest point since 1986. But let’s not forget that during “perfect storms” there are always opportunities, as these are the exact points in a cycle when asset values hit attractive lows that makes investing suitable for asset play opportunities and fleet renewals, especially for those who have sat in the sideways all these years waiting for this exact “perfect storm””, he concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 27 January 15
Q1 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 47.87 FOR WEEK ENDING JAN. 23
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 gain week over week and declined month on month.
The Q1 swap has decline US$ 0.9 ...
Tuesday, 27 January 15
Q2 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP UP 4.5% W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.28 per MT (-0.54%) month over month and increased US$ 1.23 ( ...
Monday, 26 January 15
OVERSUPPLY, AMPLE STOCKPILES, AND LACKLUSTER UNDERLYING STEEL DEMAND KEPT COKING COAL PRICES LOW IN 2014
COALspot.com: Coking coal prices (FOB & CFR) fell 15% and 18% respectively during the year, amidst persistent oversupply, ample inventory and s ...
Monday, 26 January 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY Q2 COAL SWAP CLOSED LOWER THAN Q1 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month over month and day on day.
The Q1 swap has fell ...
Monday, 26 January 15
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CONTINUE TO SLIDE M-O-M; ROSE W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.79 (-1.33%) per MT month over month and gained US$ 2.10&nb ...
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- Australian Coal Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
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