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Thursday, 12 February 15
DRY BULK OWNERS SCRAP MORE VESSELS, AS MARKET REACHES HISTORICAL LOWS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has reached historical lows this week, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) now trading at levels below operating expense levels for most ship owners. In fact, with the FFA markets not showing any positive signs for a possible recovery in the near future, pessimism is still the “name of the game” in the dry bulk market. In its latest report, shipbroker Intermodal noted that “apart from from the existing tonnage surplus, for which we have talked a lot during the last years, anemic global growth and demand for dry bulk commodities have also pushed the BDI to its lowest historical point”.
Attempting to provide some insight as to what factors have contributed to this negative development, Intermodal’s SnP broker, Mr. Yannis Olziersky said that “the decline of coal trade due to low demand from China is causing a big “headache” to Capesize and Panamax owners. Imports to China have been significantly reduced, since the local government is trying to shift away its dependency to coal for electricity production, to other renewable sources of energy. Despite that other countries like India have increased coal imports but that has so far proved inadequate to substitute entirely the fall in Chinese imports. As a result, many Panamaxes and capers, which were engaged in coal trade, are shifting to iron ore trade where in terms of transferred volume we are witnessing a healthy trade growth despite the fact that rates here have also plummeted”.
At the same time, “iron ore exports to China from Australia and Brazil rose as stockpiles in Chinese ports had hit a 12-month low in the beginning of the year. Low iron ore price together with cheap transportation cost and Chinese New Year festivities around the corner is the reason behind the increased volumes of iron ore imports. This increase has helped the Capesize market to slightly pick up from its historical lower point ever recorded in January and witness improved rates, which nonetheless are still far from what could be described as decent”, Olziersky said.
The shipbroker’s analyst added that “headlines regarding the dry bulk market are mostly negative these days, however in this bearish market there are some news which could be interpreted as positive signs, something that market needs since this “crisis” is not only driven by its fundamental problems but also by sentiment. On one hand, iron ore imports could be soon increasing as demand from the Chinese steel industry is expected to rise on the back of the recently announced plan by the Chinese government to invest heavily (around USD1 trillion) in infrastructure projects as an attempt to support growth”.
According to Olziersky, another silver lining could be the fact that “activity in dry bulk demolition activity has increased the last month as a result of declining freight rates. As a matter of fact, in just one month’s time the number of Capesize vessels that was sold for scrap reached the number of Capesizes scrapped during the whole of 2014. Under this freight environment it is very likely that this trend will continue, helping the market alleviate some of the abundant tonnage. Finally, new building activity is declining because of both the current negative environment and also lack of finance to support these projects as a result of this environment. Also some contracted dry projects which have not commenced are now being swapped to wet projects allowing the substantial dry bulk order book to take a much needed breath”.
He concluded his analysis by noting that “a “perfect storm” is currently taking place in the Dry Bulk market. Overcapacity, anemic global growth, lack of demand for dry bulk cargoes and bearish sentiment amongst players, have all come together and pushed the market to its lowest point since 1986. But let’s not forget that during “perfect storms” there are always opportunities, as these are the exact points in a cycle when asset values hit attractive lows that makes investing suitable for asset play opportunities and fleet renewals, especially for those who have sat in the sideways all these years waiting for this exact “perfect storm””, he concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 30 January 15
CAN BULKER CONVERSIONS SPOIL THE TANKER MARKET'S PARTY? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Oversupply of tonnage has always been in the back of the head of ship owners when it comes to taking advantage of favorable market conditions. As s ...
Thursday, 29 January 15
CHINA ENERGY DEMAND MUST BE REVIEWED DUE TO FUNDAMENTAL ECONOMIC CHANGES - WOOD MACKENZIE
New patterns emerging as energy demand growth decoupled significantly from GDP growth for the first time in 2014
Wood Mackenzie says 2014 was ...
Thursday, 29 January 15
CAPE MARKET IS STILL STRUGGLING WITH LOW DEMAND AND LOW COMMODITY PRICES
Handy
Supramax rates are heading south with slipping rates all across the block. USG activity is slow with mid-week levels in the mid 8.000s, Fea ...
Wednesday, 28 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - STELIOS KOLLINTZAS
With most traders having returned to action from year end festivities, we have already seen signs of activity in the specialized product markets. L ...
Wednesday, 28 January 15
CAPES CONTINUED THEIR UPWARD MOVEMENT LAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market displayed a mirror performance of that of the week prior, with the Capesize market correcting further upwards and ...
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- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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