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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 14 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
In Oil we trust! The Barrel price has declined by almost a third in comparison to the 2014 January and has being on the downhill since early last s ...
Wednesday, 14 January 15
COMMODITIES AREN'T PRIMED FOR A REBOUND DURING 2015: SHIPPING COULD BENEFIT FROM LOWER PRICES - ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In the recent past, higher commodity prices were driven by an increase in demand from developing countries, which spelled good news for ship owners ...
Wednesday, 14 January 15
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q1 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 46.97 PMT
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month on month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has fell US$ 1.53 (-3.15 ...
Wednesday, 14 January 15
Q4' 15 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED 4.51% LOWER COMPARED TO Q1' 15 PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 1.56 per MT (-3.0%) month over month and US$ 1.03 (-2.0%) week ove ...
Tuesday, 13 January 15
MORE PITFALLS FOR OWNERS LOOKING TO TERMINATE FOR UNPAID HIRE - INCE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
It is a debatable point whether or not the obligation to pay hire under a time charter is a condition of the contract or ...
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- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The University of Queensland
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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