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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 20 January 15
INDONESIAN COAL OUTPUT SEEN RISING, DESPITE FALL IN ITS PRICE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month on month and week over week, but Indonesian Coal Output Seen Rising. T ...
Tuesday, 20 January 15
NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY DECLINED 2.83% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 1.45 per MT (-2.83%) month over month and US$ 0.50 (-0.99%) we ...
Monday, 19 January 15
HBA FALL TO FRESH LOWS; COAL OVERSUPPLY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH PRICE DOWN
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down Indonesian coal bench mark price this month to US$ 63.84. T ...
Monday, 19 January 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS REMAIN WEAK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 3.37 (-5.63%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.74 (-1.29%) ...
Monday, 19 January 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q4 DELIVERY CLOSED 4% LOWER THAN Q1 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has f ...
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- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
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