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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 24 February 15
IHS ENERGY COAL CONFERENCE OF THE AMERICAS
Attend the IHS Energy Coal Conference of the Americas 17-19 March in Cartagena, Colombia and learn about timely concerns in today's coal indust ...
Monday, 23 February 15
Q2' CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR Q2 ROSE 3.39% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 1.90 (+3.39%) per MT month over month and declined US$ 0.08 ...
Monday, 23 February 15
Q2' API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED $1 HIGHER THAN Q3
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 3.12 per MT (+6.44%) month over month and fall US$ 0.43 (-0.83%) w ...
Sunday, 22 February 15
THE BALTIC DRY INDEX LOST ALMOST 3.2% OR 17 POINTS WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Dry Index, one of the economic indicators that monitors the health of the world's economy by tracking the price of shi ...
Friday, 20 February 15
GOVT SET TO INCREASE COAL OUTPUT TARGET THIS YEAR - JAKARTA POST
The Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry is planning to increase its coal output target this year as the government seeks to offset the ongoing de ...
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- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
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