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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 02 March 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP ROSE 6.89% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 3.35 per MT (+6.89%) month over month and US$ 0.40 (0.78%) week on ...
Sunday, 01 March 15
BDI INDEX SLIGHTLY UP CAUSED AN INCREASE IN THE PANAMAX, SUPARAMAX AND HANDY SIZE INDICES
COALspot.com: The freight market saw some gains this week and BDI was up 5.26 pct closed at 540 points. However the Cape index failed to follow BDI ...
Friday, 27 February 15
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION DOWN AN ESTIMATED 14.0% FROM LAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 16.5 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 26 February 15
DRY BULK MARKET COULD REBOUND FROM HISTORICAL LOWS IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market could exit from its historical lows in the coming weeks, as Chinese buyers reenter the market after the holiday celebrations. T ...
Thursday, 26 February 15
COAL POLICY RISK: HIGHER ROYALTIES FOR IUP HOLDERS - BAHANA SECURITIES | JAKARTA POST
The Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry plans to raise coal royalties charged to mining operation permit (IUP) holders by the end of the first qu ...
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- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
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