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Wednesday, 14 January 15
COMMODITIES AREN'T PRIMED FOR A REBOUND DURING 2015: SHIPPING COULD BENEFIT FROM LOWER PRICES - ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 In the recent past, higher commodity prices were driven by an increase in demand from developing countries, which spelled good news for ship owners, are the vast majority of this demand was serviced via seaborne cargoes. However, as the commodity market was plagued by speculators and many relative trades, more often than not, higher prices didn’t necessarily translate to higher demand for cargoes. As such, the latest downward trend among major commodities, isn’t all that bad for members of the shipping community, as they could ignite an increased demand from a series of nations.
In any case, as Allied Shipbroking’s latest report indicated, “we are set for another difficult year for commodities. Faced with strong pressure from a continually increasing US Dollar, a marginal increase in demand and an excessive oversupply glut, it will be hard to note a complete reversal within the next 12 months. Much of the drive in the commodity prices has been the great economic performance of several emerging economies with most notable of these being China. Things have changed however, as China has already seen its growth levels slowdown considerably over the past months and many economic analysts expect an even further slowdown within this year”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking, “at the same time a number of other high performing BRICS have sud-denly found themselves facing considerable economic problems. Russia is one of the obvious ones which has been greatly publicized in the international press. Nevertheless, it is some of the economies hidden in the back pages of economic news journals that hide further troubles ahead. Brazil has seen a reversal of its previous stellar per-formance showing considerable unrest and further cuts in its growth outlook, while many are worried over raised forecasts of inflation. This leaves us with only India and South Africa as potential champions amongst emerging economies which could take up the driver’s seat and push for further global trade growth. India has already started to show signs of ramping up its consumption of several key commodities and while it’s a major producer for several of these commodities as well, we might see a reversal as it starts to become a major importer picking up importance from its growing industrial production. Worth pointing out is the add bonuses it could bring to seaborne trade through higher tonne-mile demand as it will push most of Asia to source its commodities from further away locations. Nevertheless we are still far away from seeing anywhere near the level of importance taken up by China, nor is it yet in the position to cover fully any waning demand growth by China”, Lazaridis pointed.
He added though that “yet, as things stand now, attention has started to shift back to the more developed economies. Europe has a lot of issues still to deal with and after the most recent economic figures coming from The Old Continent, it looks as though we could be set for even further trouble during the first quarter. There is however one economy both big enough to drive a rebound in the global economy. Much will be bet this year on the U.S. recovery and as things continue to improve, so will its appetite for trade. As it drives for further consumption of finished goods sourced from mostly from the emerging economies such as China and India, its demand could be catalytic in pushing these economies back into drive. At the same time, even Europe could start to benefit from the U.S. recovery cause as it gains traction and the Euro continues to weaken against the Dollar so will the cost of Europe’s exports to the U.S. making them more competitive. Looking more long-term therefore, we might finally be in sight of the turning point towards better market conditions. An improved U.S. economy might be perfectly timed with lower commodity prices slowly amplifying demand while creating a steady base for consumption of goods worldwide. This should be in practice more balanced and rigid growth, nevertheless it will be a slow process and we are unlikely to see a complete reversal especially as political turmoil continues to shake things about”, Lazaridis concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 19 December 14
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION REACHED APPROXIMATELY 19.8 MMST; UP 1.0% WOW
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 19 December 14
HANDY: SOFTER TONE; PANAMAX: QUIET WEEK; CAPESIZE; PAINFUL WEEK
Handy
A softer tone for rates and volumes for the Supras, perhaps less apparent in the Pacific the last week before the season holidays and good ...
Thursday, 18 December 14
INDONESIA TO REVISE UP COAL OUTPUT TARGET TO 460 MILLION TONS IN 2015
COALspot.com: Indonesian government has revised up its next year coal output forecast to 460 million tons from its previous forecast of 421 million ...
Wednesday, 17 December 14
CAPES RATES SLIPPED BELOW $5,600/DAY, FELL 84% YOY
COALspot.com: In the very rare occurrence when the BCI stands below the BDI, words to describe market sentiment are probably poor, said Intermodal ...
Wednesday, 17 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL SHANGHAI, SNP TEAM
As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, we are all witness to the second hand market prices softening day by day. Any new deal surfacing t ...
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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