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Wednesday, 14 January 15
COMMODITIES AREN'T PRIMED FOR A REBOUND DURING 2015: SHIPPING COULD BENEFIT FROM LOWER PRICES - ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In the recent past, higher commodity prices were driven by an increase in demand from developing countries, which spelled good news for ship owners, are the vast majority of this demand was serviced via seaborne cargoes. However, as the commodity market was plagued by speculators and many relative trades, more often than not, higher prices didn’t necessarily translate to higher demand for cargoes. As such, the latest downward trend among major commodities, isn’t all that bad for members of the shipping community, as they could ignite an increased demand from a series of nations.
In any case, as Allied Shipbroking’s latest report indicated, “we are set for another difficult year for commodities. Faced with strong pressure from a continually increasing US Dollar, a marginal increase in demand and an excessive oversupply glut, it will be hard to note a complete reversal within the next 12 months. Much of the drive in the commodity prices has been the great economic performance of several emerging economies with most notable of these being China. Things have changed however, as China has already seen its growth levels slowdown considerably over the past months and many economic analysts expect an even further slowdown within this year”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking, “at the same time a number of other high performing BRICS have sud-denly found themselves facing considerable economic problems. Russia is one of the obvious ones which has been greatly publicized in the international press. Nevertheless, it is some of the economies hidden in the back pages of economic news journals that hide further troubles ahead. Brazil has seen a reversal of its previous stellar per-formance showing considerable unrest and further cuts in its growth outlook, while many are worried over raised forecasts of inflation. This leaves us with only India and South Africa as potential champions amongst emerging economies which could take up the driver’s seat and push for further global trade growth. India has already started to show signs of ramping up its consumption of several key commodities and while it’s a major producer for several of these commodities as well, we might see a reversal as it starts to become a major importer picking up importance from its growing industrial production. Worth pointing out is the add bonuses it could bring to seaborne trade through higher tonne-mile demand as it will push most of Asia to source its commodities from further away locations. Nevertheless we are still far away from seeing anywhere near the level of importance taken up by China, nor is it yet in the position to cover fully any waning demand growth by China”, Lazaridis pointed.
He added though that “yet, as things stand now, attention has started to shift back to the more developed economies. Europe has a lot of issues still to deal with and after the most recent economic figures coming from The Old Continent, it looks as though we could be set for even further trouble during the first quarter. There is however one economy both big enough to drive a rebound in the global economy. Much will be bet this year on the U.S. recovery and as things continue to improve, so will its appetite for trade. As it drives for further consumption of finished goods sourced from mostly from the emerging economies such as China and India, its demand could be catalytic in pushing these economies back into drive. At the same time, even Europe could start to benefit from the U.S. recovery cause as it gains traction and the Euro continues to weaken against the Dollar so will the cost of Europe’s exports to the U.S. making them more competitive. Looking more long-term therefore, we might finally be in sight of the turning point towards better market conditions. An improved U.S. economy might be perfectly timed with lower commodity prices slowly amplifying demand while creating a steady base for consumption of goods worldwide. This should be in practice more balanced and rigid growth, nevertheless it will be a slow process and we are unlikely to see a complete reversal especially as political turmoil continues to shake things about”, Lazaridis concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 23 December 14
SHIPOWNERS ARE FINALIZING MORE DEALS AS YEAR END COMES CLOSER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS WORLDWIDE
With the 2014 year just a few days before waving goodbye, shipowners are looking to close their pending deals in both the newbuilding and S&P m ...
Monday, 22 December 14
Q2'15 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED $ 0.30 LOWER THAN Q1'15 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased by US$ 3.67 (-5.81%) month over month and US$ 0.35 (-0.58%) ...
Monday, 22 December 14
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS ARE HEADING SOUTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 1.71 per MT (-3.24%) and closed at US$ 51.02 on 19 December month ...
Sunday, 21 December 14
PANAMAX COAL FREIGHT FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA FALLS FURTHER
COALspot.com: The BDI continued its fall as cape index lost heavily week on week.
The BDI was down 6.95 percent week over week and closed at 8 ...
Friday, 19 December 14
HOW WILL LOWER BUNKER PRICES AFFECT THE SUBSTANTIAL OVERCAPACITY IN DRY BULK MARKET? - BIMCO
As bunker fuel costs have come down from USD 600 per tonnes to USD 330 per tonnes in the past 6 months, much talk about increased ship speed have s ...
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The University of Queensland
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PTC India Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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