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Wednesday, 17 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL SHANGHAI, SNP TEAM
As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, we are all witness to the second hand market prices softening day by day. Any new deal surfacing the market is at significantly lower level compared to the previous last done. In this respect, some Owners are accepting these new discounted levels, ac-cepting the new asset level reality, whereas others prefer to withdraw their ships or chose to wait, hoping to find more eager Buyers who can pay their aiming levels.
For the modern dry bulker tonnages, Owners are still holding back and are insisting on asking prices, which in some cases are more in sync with the levels of the market six months ago. Most of them, however, are trying to fix the ships in small period contracts that will help them sit through the bad market in the next few months, hoping that by the end of the contracts they will face a better market. Some unrealistically priced sale candidates, which still remain in the market, have created a small increase in the supply of tonnage for sale which does not help the more serious Sellers to get a good or at least a decent price for their vessels.
Demolition prices are softening every week and the period of time where the prices were around 480-500 usd/ldt for bulkers is well behind us. Today, we can see Owners receiving figures at around 420-430 usd/ldt basis deliv-ery in Bangladesh or West coast of India. Many people in this industry are pessimistic and they don’t expect any increase in demo prices in the near future, with some expecting average demo bids to fall below the 400 usd/ldt mark sooner rather than later. The iron ore and steel price remain on a downward slope, while the continuous imports of cheap Chinese scrap steel is still the main hurdle faced by demo breakers in the Indian subcontinent.
The softening of the demo market, has had a big impact on the selling prices of the early/mid 90s built dry bulk carriers since their value calculation is usually based on the demo price plus a premium. This is most notable on Panamax and Handymax dry bulk tonnage, which have lost significant value during the past months and all this doesn’t seem to be changing soon, as the vessels on the market are too many and the majority of the Buyers are based in China, who is well accustomed in being patient in order to get something cheap.
Chinese Buyers already seem to be attracted by the present lows of the mar-ket and there is definitely some warming up of activity here. However, as everybody has a feeling that prices will most probably keep dropping, as a result of the continuously softening demo prices, most potential Buyers chose to wait a little further before they invest in second-hand tonnage. The logic behind this is that instead of acquiring now a low-mid 90’s blt ship, there might be an opportunity in the very near future to purchase, at a simi-lar value, a late 90’s blt tonnage.
Hopefully, these bad market conditions will come to an end soon. If this situation persists for long enough though, everybody involved in the indus-try will start facing problems. On the other hand, this hasn’t had a significant effect on Tanker Owners who are trading in a significantly improved freight market, ever since oil prices dropped and demand of oil increased. But whether this perfect storm will continue to favor the tanker market is the million dollar question here.
By Intermodal Shanghai office, SnP Team
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 28 October 14
SGX'S FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR DELIVERY Q1' 2015 CLOSED AT $ 68.07 ON 24 OCT
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay coal swap for Q4’ 2014 delivery decreased US$ 0.65 (-0.96%) month over month and increased US$ 1.79 (+2. ...
Tuesday, 28 October 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 15 DELIVERY CLOSED 3.68% LOWER MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q4' 2014 lost month on month and gained day on day and week on week.
The swap has lost US ...
Monday, 27 October 14
GOVT PROMISES TO EASE LICENSING PROCEDURES IN MINING SECTOR - THE JAKARTA POST
The Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry’s directorate general for mineral and coal plans to simplify the complicated licensing procedures i ...
Monday, 27 October 14
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 15 DELIVERY CLOSED $ 0.10 LESSER THAN Q4' 14 CLOSING OF $ 53.27 PMT
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q4’ 2014 delivery decreased US$ 1.43 (-2.61%) month over month and increased US$ 0.05 (+0.09% ...
Monday, 27 October 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS PERFORMED POSITIVE THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q4’ 2014 delivery decreased US$ 1.68 (-2.55%) month over month and increased US$ 0.87 (+1.3 ...
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- PTC India Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Planning Commission, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The University of Queensland
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
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