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Wednesday, 17 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL SHANGHAI, SNP TEAM
As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, we are all witness to the second hand market prices softening day by day. Any new deal surfacing the market is at significantly lower level compared to the previous last done. In this respect, some Owners are accepting these new discounted levels, ac-cepting the new asset level reality, whereas others prefer to withdraw their ships or chose to wait, hoping to find more eager Buyers who can pay their aiming levels.
For the modern dry bulker tonnages, Owners are still holding back and are insisting on asking prices, which in some cases are more in sync with the levels of the market six months ago. Most of them, however, are trying to fix the ships in small period contracts that will help them sit through the bad market in the next few months, hoping that by the end of the contracts they will face a better market. Some unrealistically priced sale candidates, which still remain in the market, have created a small increase in the supply of tonnage for sale which does not help the more serious Sellers to get a good or at least a decent price for their vessels.
Demolition prices are softening every week and the period of time where the prices were around 480-500 usd/ldt for bulkers is well behind us. Today, we can see Owners receiving figures at around 420-430 usd/ldt basis deliv-ery in Bangladesh or West coast of India. Many people in this industry are pessimistic and they don’t expect any increase in demo prices in the near future, with some expecting average demo bids to fall below the 400 usd/ldt mark sooner rather than later. The iron ore and steel price remain on a downward slope, while the continuous imports of cheap Chinese scrap steel is still the main hurdle faced by demo breakers in the Indian subcontinent.
The softening of the demo market, has had a big impact on the selling prices of the early/mid 90s built dry bulk carriers since their value calculation is usually based on the demo price plus a premium. This is most notable on Panamax and Handymax dry bulk tonnage, which have lost significant value during the past months and all this doesn’t seem to be changing soon, as the vessels on the market are too many and the majority of the Buyers are based in China, who is well accustomed in being patient in order to get something cheap.
Chinese Buyers already seem to be attracted by the present lows of the mar-ket and there is definitely some warming up of activity here. However, as everybody has a feeling that prices will most probably keep dropping, as a result of the continuously softening demo prices, most potential Buyers chose to wait a little further before they invest in second-hand tonnage. The logic behind this is that instead of acquiring now a low-mid 90’s blt ship, there might be an opportunity in the very near future to purchase, at a simi-lar value, a late 90’s blt tonnage.
Hopefully, these bad market conditions will come to an end soon. If this situation persists for long enough though, everybody involved in the indus-try will start facing problems. On the other hand, this hasn’t had a significant effect on Tanker Owners who are trading in a significantly improved freight market, ever since oil prices dropped and demand of oil increased. But whether this perfect storm will continue to favor the tanker market is the million dollar question here.
By Intermodal Shanghai office, SnP Team
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 31 October 14
BUKIT ASAM'S NET PROFIT ROSE 27.42% FOR THE PERIOD JANUARY - SEPTEMBER 2014
COALspot.com: Publicly listed coal miner Bukit Asam reported solid profits in the first nine months of 2014 year.
Coal miner Bukit Asam manage ...
Friday, 31 October 14
U.S PRODUCED AROUND 19.3 MMST OF COAL IN A WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.3 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 30 October 14
COAL & GRAINS SUPPORT PANAMAX AND IRON ORE SUPPORTS CAPES
Handy
The Atlantic market has been flat this week. Rates are up about US$ 200 from last week on the TA´s, but the volumes are about the sam ...
Thursday, 30 October 14
DOES A LOU ARBITRATION AGREEMENT FOR THE UNDERLYING CARGO CLAIM COMPLETELY REPLACE THE BILL OF LADING ARBITRATION CLAUSE? - INCE &CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In the context of cargo claims brought under four bills of lading, the Commercial Court has recently considered whether a ...
Wednesday, 29 October 14
GOOD REASON WHY Q4 CAPESIZE OUTLOOK WAS SO BULLISH AT START OF THE YEAR - COMMODORE RESEARCH
COALspot.com: There was good reason why so many analysts' capesize outlook for Q4 was so very strong at the start of this year. Brazilian ...
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- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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