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Wednesday, 03 December 14
CAPESIZE DRY BULK CARRIERS ENTER 2015 WITH MIXED FORTUNES, WITH A POSITIVE AND A NEGATIVE SCENARIO BOTH EMERGING - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The future of the Capesize dry bulk market appears to be engulfed from mixed “feelings” among analysts and market participants, despite the fact of the relatively positive performance of late. The “pessimists”, as described by shipbroker Allied Shipbroking’s latest weekly report, are negative regarding the future prospects of the Capesize market, at least during the first half of 2015, while things are not looking much better for 2015 as a whole. According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations, the arguments expressed claim that “with the steel industry being considerably shaken up after the softer results witnessed out of China throughout the year, the market has found itself once again plagued by overcapacity in terms of vessels and excess supply of steel products, possibly marking a further slowdown in steel production growth. Having now en-ered the final month of 2014 and with rates in the final quarter of the year having grossly disappointed the expectations that had accrued from the more promising final quarter of 2013, the market has now been left in shatters in terms of market sentiment, while the headache of the excessive order book continues to loom in the horizon”.
By contrast, those who voice more optimistic views, say that things could very well be better. According to them, “iron ore trade and in particular seaborne trade, has been mainly driven by Chinese demand for almost a dec-ade now and while demand for steel production may well be faltering, it doesn’t not look like we will see an outright reduction in demand for this vital commodity. At the same time, with prices of the ore having dropped to consecutively record 5 year lows over the past months, it has been Chinese internal iron ore production that has been most at threat. Both Australia and Brazil have considerably lower breakeven levels and can sustain their production at price levels considerably lower than their Chinese counterparts. This means that as the price drops further it will likely be seaborne imports that will have most to gain boosting their demand and as such their volumes”, Lazaridis noted.
He added that according to the optimists of the dry bulk market, “the considerable iron ore inventories that have amassed in most major Chinese ports are likely to be consumed fairly quickly by the ramped up Chinese steel produc-tion and at the same time the average levels of port inventories will have to be raised in order to better secure against any disruptions in production as they will be more reliant on imports moving forward”.
As a results, Allied’s analyst wonders which will be the case out of the above different scenarios. According to him, “there may well be an increasing rise for iron ore imports, however Australia has championed as main supplier to China for many years and as things are looking now, they have been gaining further ground during 2014, moving from a 51% market share in 2013 up to roughly a 58% market share now. This means that as their mines ramp up production and gain ground in the market they will likely eat up some of the further away competition as well, countering some of the positive effects of the higher reliance of China on imports, as Aussie ore also takes up volume from longer haul sources as well”.
According to the shipbroker’s view on the 2015 dry bulk market, “as things stand now it looks as a reasonable scenario for Chinese iron ore imports to rise by around 10-15% on a year-on-year ba-sis, while to put this number in perspective the respective number for 2014 looks close to around 16%. Having said that, this rise in imports is possibly going to translate into a more marginal 5% demand growth and even this figure seems to be optimistic. At the same time the schedule of newbuilding deliveries is quite well packed with over 139 vessels currently set to hit the water within 2015, while the lower bunker prices might add another headache as fuel consumption becomes less of an issue and many charter-ers start to push for higher speeds and in turn further increase the total annual carrying capacity of the Capesize fleet”, he concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 16 October 14
ARE WE GOING TO SHOOT OURSELVES IN THE FOOT ONCE AGAIN? - PANOS MAKRINOS
As the East part of our globe was coming back from its October holidays last week, everyone expected that the Dry Bulk market would follow suit and ...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
PANAMAX: ACTIVITY IN THE PACIFIC WAS UNIMPRESSIVE
The Dry Bulk market noted another weekly decline last week, while the BDI moved below 1,000 points taking down with it expectations that a post hol ...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE FELL TO FRESH MULTI-YEAR LOWS IN OCTOBER
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down the coal bench mark price once again in October 2014.
...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
DRY BULK SHIPPING: RATE IMPROVEMENTS ARRIVED AS FORECAST, BUT UNCERTAINTY MOUNTS FOR 2015 DEMAND - BIMCO
BIMCO released its latest short term assessment of the dry bulk market, estimating that over the October-November period, the level of Capesize TC ...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
SHIPOWNER NOT LIABLE FOR CARGO DAMAGE RESULTING FROM POOR STOWAGE - CLYDE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Russian metal trading company Yuzhny Zavod Metall Profil (YZMP), the holder of a CONGEN 1994 bill of lading, took delivery o ...
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Showing 3426 to 3430 news of total 6871 |
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- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
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