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Monday, 24 November 14
CHOPPY WATERS IN DRY BULK - SGX
COALspot.com: Dry bulk freight rates have experienced a sharp rise in volatility in recent weeks as bulk commodity supply has ramped up, said SGX in its latest note.
SGX, Singapore Exchange represents the premier access point for managing Asian capital and investment exposure, and is Asia’s most international exchange with more than 40% of companies listed on SGX originating outside of Singapore.
SGX further said, the 30-day annualised volatility of the Baltic Dry Index has surpassed 50%, versus a Q3 average of 37%. This spike in volatility has been primarily driven by Capesize rates, with the Baltic Capesize Index 30-day annualised volatility averaging a staggering 138% so far this month.
According to SGX, year-to-date, the benchmark iron ore price has fallen 48% while thermal coal prices have also steadily declined through the course of the year. Freight rates meanwhile have been extremely volatile, but on average holding well at higher levels. As a result, freight rates have become a much more significant component of delivered iron ore and coal prices.
"In January 2014 for example, the C5 route (Western Australia to China) averaged less than 7% of the benchmark delivered iron ore price into China. At present, the same route makes up more than 13% of the delivered iron ore price. Falling bulk commodity prices have led freight to become a relatively more important consideration along the commodity value chain, and with volatility spiking, effective freight risk management tools have become all the more important," said SGX.
The dry bulk freight market is often subject to severe seasonality, with typically stronger demand through Q4. Iron ore, coal and steel account for about 60% of total dry bulk tonne-miles, according to Clarksons. Seasonality within the seaborne iron ore and thermal coal markets therefore has a significant impact on the dry bulk freight market, as noted by SGX.
SGX further said, Iron ore usually sees strong seaborne trade volumes during Q4 as producers look to maximise exports ahead of seasonal weather-related supply disruptions that often occur in Q1, while the Chinese steel industry typically restocks steelmaking raw materials ahead of the cold winter months/Chinese New Year. Over the past three years, Brazilian and Australian iron ore shipments have on average risen in Q4 (versus Q3) by 9% and 6%, respectively. Thermal coal also usually experiences higher seaborne volumes towards year-end in anticipation of winter as power supply companies look to build inventory. In the past three years, Indonesian and Australian thermal coal exports have on average risen by 17% and 5% respectively in Q4.
With relatively inelastic supply in the dry bulk freight market, these seasonal demand fluctuations can lead to heightened price volatility, and in past years freight rates have often risen in Q4. Indeed, recent prices rises in Capesize and Panamax rates are indicative of such seasonality. That said, uncertainty remains over whether we will see typical seasonal impacts sustained over the coming months. Reasons for such uncertainty and potentially unseasonal trends may include: (i) tight credit availability and ample iron ore port inventory in China, which may limit the degree of seasonal restocking; (ii) Chinese coal imports are declining, and government regulations appear supportive of this trend; and (iii) meteorologists are suggesting a high probability of an El Nino event this year, which may mean drier than usual weather in Australia and Indonesia, and potentially therefore lower than normal weather-related supply disruptions, concluded SGX.
According to SGX, it is managing both commodity & freight on one platform; capital efficiencies through margin optimisation
SGX uniquely provides effective risk management tools to manage both the underlying bulk commodity and freight rate exposures together on the same platform. Furthermore, with all products on one platform SGX is able to offer highly competitive intra-commodity margin offsets. With a range of margin credits across different freight products as well as intra-commodity margin offsets between freight and iron ore, SGX provides a unique value proposition for the clearing of freight and bulk commodity derivatives.
For more details about SGX please click here to visit its official website.
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Monday, 25 August 14
4TH ANNUAL FLOATING TERMINALS
4th Annual Floating Terminals
18-20 Nov 2014
Intercontinental Jakarta Midplaza,
Indonesia
Web Site
The Floating Terminal c ...
Monday, 25 August 14
THE BALTIC DRY IS JUMPING, BUT DON'T DRAW ANY BROAD CONCLUSIONS - NASDAQ
Those who consistently preach doom and gloom and see an economic apocalypse around every corner would make me laugh if it weren’t for the fac ...
Monday, 25 August 14
COAL CEOS: DEMISE OF COAL 'EXAGGERATED' - MARK WILCOX
By Mark Wilcox
Heads of some of the largest coal companies in Wyoming are saying the demise of coal has been exaggerated, though the industry def ...
Monday, 25 August 14
INDO COAL SWAPS W-O-W: NEGATIVE; M-O-M: POSITIVE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average September 2014 decreased US$ 0.15 (-0.28%) day on day and US$ 0.65 (-1.19%) per mt week on week. Th ...
Monday, 25 August 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP GAINED DAY OVER DAY AND MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in September 2014 increased US$ 0.30 (+0.44%) day on day and decreased US$ 0.20 (- ...
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- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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