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Thursday, 13 November 14
DRY BULK MARKET'S REBOUND HINGES ON IRON ORE OVERSUPPLY ISSUES MOVING FORWARD - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
“One man’s benefit, is another man’s demise” is a phrase which can be used to describe today’s situation in the dry bulk market. The oversupply of iron ore has led to prices crashing and smaller producers’ position becoming more precarious by the day. On the other hand, for the maritime industry, this exact issue of oversupply is fuelling a rebound in dry bulk freight rates.
So, the issue moving forward will be, how long will the ongoing battle between the low-cost iron ore producers and the big three, i.e. Vale, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton will last? According to the marketing manager of Towage & Port Agency with Cotzias Intermodal Shipping, Mr. Christopher T. Whitty, “we are moving into a new era in the iron ore sector and major analysts are already cutting down substantially their forecasts for the price of the commodity during 2015. The commodity traded at $75.38 on November the 6th, marking the lowest level since September 2009 and top researchers are talking about 2015 prices averaging around 80$ per ton. According to Rio de Janeiro-based Vale SA, the largest producer, “The oversupply won’t last forever as some smaller producers that started output when prices were much higher won’t be able to survive the slump”. Even now that the commodity’s price is at record low levels, the majors are still looking at the big picture and they both continue to ramp up production in both Brazil and Australia”, Whitty noted.
In the latest weekly report, Mr. Whitty stated that “from a maritime perspective, the oversupply of global iron ore is one of the main factors that could drive the demand for seaborne trade. The iron ore market fundamentals are changing to the extent where we all hope that the global surplus of the commodity will continue to fuel the rates for Capesize vessels over a prolonged period. The question is, how long it will take until the smaller producers will have to cease operations due to the lower industry price floor”.
It’s worth noting that “during last week, the iron majors in both Brazil and Australia were considered as relatively quiet and, as a result, freight rates declined week on week on the Tubarao to Qingdao route to $9.35 per tonne and on the Western Australia to China route to $24 per tonne. Nevertheless the freight market for capesize bulk carriers is still at sustainable levels and the top iron ore producers are intending to bring even more new supply to the market over the next three years. The increase in global supply is also affecting the Chinese domestic output and if the majors want to force a high percentage of these producers to shut down, they will have to ensure that prices will remain low for an extended period or at least for the next couple of months. Even though Chinese iron ore imports decreased more than 6 percent compared to September, the overall sentiment is that they still remain on track for their biggest growth in the last five years, which is somewhat encouraging for now”, Whitty noted.
He concluded his analysis by noting that “this means that at least in the short term the surplus of iron ore in the market will most likely be absorbed mainly by China, while expectations for 2015 are that the global surplus will be approximately 110 million tons. Comparing that to the 2014 surplus of around 60 million tons, yields a clear picture of the oversupply that is flooding the industry and places even more weight on the significance of the Chinese economy”.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 17 November 14
SKULD ISSUES URGENT NOTICE ON BANKRUPTCY OF OW BUNKER A/S
Further to the Association’s advices of 7 November 2014, more information has come to light with respect to the potential impact and scale of ...
Monday, 17 November 14
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE CONTINUES FREE FALL; SLUMPS TO 69-MONTH LOW
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down the coal bench mark price once again in November. HBA for t ...
Monday, 17 November 14
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 15 DELIVERY CLOSED AT $ 52.75
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 1.77 (-3.25%) month over month and US$ 0.02 (-0.04%) day ...
Monday, 17 November 14
SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP SLIGHTLY INCREASED WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 1.73 (-2.67%) month over month and US$ 0.10 (-0.16%) da ...
Sunday, 16 November 14
THE BDI LOST 12.59% WEEK ON WEEK; THE BCI LOST 19.95%
COALspot.com: The BDI fell 12.59 percent to 1256 point week on week on Friday 14 November. All the segments were also most down this week. The cape ...
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
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