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Thursday, 13 November 14
DRY BULK MARKET'S REBOUND HINGES ON IRON ORE OVERSUPPLY ISSUES MOVING FORWARD - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
“One man’s benefit, is another man’s demise” is a phrase which can be used to describe today’s situation in the dry bulk market. The oversupply of iron ore has led to prices crashing and smaller producers’ position becoming more precarious by the day. On the other hand, for the maritime industry, this exact issue of oversupply is fuelling a rebound in dry bulk freight rates.
So, the issue moving forward will be, how long will the ongoing battle between the low-cost iron ore producers and the big three, i.e. Vale, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton will last? According to the marketing manager of Towage & Port Agency with Cotzias Intermodal Shipping, Mr. Christopher T. Whitty, “we are moving into a new era in the iron ore sector and major analysts are already cutting down substantially their forecasts for the price of the commodity during 2015. The commodity traded at $75.38 on November the 6th, marking the lowest level since September 2009 and top researchers are talking about 2015 prices averaging around 80$ per ton. According to Rio de Janeiro-based Vale SA, the largest producer, “The oversupply won’t last forever as some smaller producers that started output when prices were much higher won’t be able to survive the slump”. Even now that the commodity’s price is at record low levels, the majors are still looking at the big picture and they both continue to ramp up production in both Brazil and Australia”, Whitty noted.
In the latest weekly report, Mr. Whitty stated that “from a maritime perspective, the oversupply of global iron ore is one of the main factors that could drive the demand for seaborne trade. The iron ore market fundamentals are changing to the extent where we all hope that the global surplus of the commodity will continue to fuel the rates for Capesize vessels over a prolonged period. The question is, how long it will take until the smaller producers will have to cease operations due to the lower industry price floor”.
It’s worth noting that “during last week, the iron majors in both Brazil and Australia were considered as relatively quiet and, as a result, freight rates declined week on week on the Tubarao to Qingdao route to $9.35 per tonne and on the Western Australia to China route to $24 per tonne. Nevertheless the freight market for capesize bulk carriers is still at sustainable levels and the top iron ore producers are intending to bring even more new supply to the market over the next three years. The increase in global supply is also affecting the Chinese domestic output and if the majors want to force a high percentage of these producers to shut down, they will have to ensure that prices will remain low for an extended period or at least for the next couple of months. Even though Chinese iron ore imports decreased more than 6 percent compared to September, the overall sentiment is that they still remain on track for their biggest growth in the last five years, which is somewhat encouraging for now”, Whitty noted.
He concluded his analysis by noting that “this means that at least in the short term the surplus of iron ore in the market will most likely be absorbed mainly by China, while expectations for 2015 are that the global surplus will be approximately 110 million tons. Comparing that to the 2014 surplus of around 60 million tons, yields a clear picture of the oversupply that is flooding the industry and places even more weight on the significance of the Chinese economy”.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 20 November 14
MOST MAJOR ASIAN ECONOMIES TO BENEFIT FROM LOWER OIL - FITCH
COALspot.com: The 25% drop in the price of oil since July is likely to lift economic growth prospects, improve terms of trade, and have a pot ...
Thursday, 20 November 14
HANDY: INDO ROUNDS ARE BEING FIXED IN REGION OF US$ 10K - FEARNLEYS
Handy
In the Atlantic we have experienced firmer rates this week much lead by the grain activity out of USG. Vsls open in the USG can achieve in ...
Thursday, 20 November 14
DEMAND FOR DRY BULK CARRIERS INCREASES ON THE BACK OF HEIGHTENED FREIGHT RATE MARKET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Ship owners are looking to take advantage of favorable market conditions through the acquisition of more dry bulk carriers. According to shipbroker ...
Wednesday, 19 November 14
INDONESIA FUEL-PRICE RISE A CLEAR, POSITIVE REFORM SIGNAL - FITCH
COALspot.com: Indonesia's hike of more than 30% in administered fuel prices, announced on 17 November, provides a clear, positive signal of the ...
Wednesday, 19 November 14
CAPES WERE UNDER PRESSURE; LOST 20% WITHIN A WEEK
COALspot.com: " The negative environment in which the week prior ended, marked this past week as well, which closed off on Friday noting the f ...
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- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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