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Wednesday, 12 November 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER T. WHITTY
COALspot.com: The fight continues between the low-cost iron ore producers and the big three: Vale, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton. We are moving into a new era in the iron ore sector and major analysts are already cutting down substantially their forecasts for the price of the commodity during 2015. The commodity traded at $75.38 on November the 6th, marking the lowest level since September 2009 and top researchers are talking about 2015 prices averaging around 80$ per ton.
According to Rio de Janeiro-based Vale SA, the largest producer, “The oversupply won’t last forever as some smaller producers that started output when prices were much higher won’t be able to survive the slump”. Even now that the commodity’s price is at record low levels, the majors are still looking at the big picture and they both continue to ramp up production in both Brazil and Australia.
From a maritime perspective, the oversupply of global iron ore is one of the main factors that could drive the demand for seaborne trade. The iron ore market fundamentals are changing to the extent where we all hope that the global surplus of the commodity will continue to fuel the rates for Capesize vessels over a prolonged period. The question is, how long it will take until the smaller producers will have to cease operations due to the lower industry price floor.
During last week, the iron majors in both Brazil and Australia were considered as relatively quiet and, as a result, freight rates declined week on week on the Tubarao to Qingdao route to $9.35 per tonne and on the Western Australia to China route to $24 per tonne.
Nevertheless the freight market for capesize bulk carriers is still at sustainable levels and the top iron ore producers are intending to bring even more new supply to the market over the next three years.
The increase in global supply is also affecting the Chinese domestic output and if the majors want to force a high percentage of these producers to shut down, they will have to ensure that prices will remain low for an extended period or at least for the next couple of months.
Even though Chinese iron ore imports decreased more than 6 percent compared to September, the overall sentiment is that they still remain on track for their biggest growth in the last five years, which is somewhat encouraging for now.
This means that at least in the short term the surplus of iron ore in the market will most likely be absorbed mainly by China, while expectations for 2015 are that the global surplus will be approximately 110 million tons. Comparing that to the 2014 surplus of around 60 million tons, yields a clear picture of the oversupply that is flooding the industry and places even more weight on the significance of the Chinese economy.
By Christopher T. Whitty
Marketing Manager - Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Sunday, 23 November 14
ITALY'S STEAM COAL IMPORTS TO DROP BY 11% IN 2014 - ASSOCARBONI
COALspot.com: Italy’s steam coal imports expected to drop to 16 million tons in 2014 (-11% compared to 2013); coking coal imports to plunge t ...
Saturday, 22 November 14
THE FALL IN BUNKER PRICES REDUCE FUEL COSTS SIGNIFICANTLY - BIMCO, PETER SAND
For a ship that burns 24 tonnes of fuel per day while steaming, fuel costs are reduced by as much as USD 1 million a year if current price level st ...
Saturday, 22 November 14
DRY BULKERS NEWBUILDING DELIVERIES REACHED 11.8 MILLION DWT DURING THIRD QUARTER, NET FLEET GROWTH FOR 2014 TO REACH 5% - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has rebounded since its less than impressive performance since the start of the year, but overall, third quarter figures could ...
Friday, 21 November 14
BUMI ENTERS INTO CONDITIONAL SALE & PURCHASE AGREEMENT TO SELL FBS STAKE
COALspot.com: PT Bumi Resources Tbk, one of the Indonesia's largest coal producers confirms that it has executed a Conditional Sale and Purchas ...
Friday, 21 November 14
U.S LAST WEEK'S COAL PRODUCTION STAYS FLAT W-O-W
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
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