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Wednesday, 12 November 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER T. WHITTY
COALspot.com: The fight continues between the low-cost iron ore producers and the big three: Vale, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton. We are moving into a new era in the iron ore sector and major analysts are already cutting down substantially their forecasts for the price of the commodity during 2015. The commodity traded at $75.38 on November the 6th, marking the lowest level since September 2009 and top researchers are talking about 2015 prices averaging around 80$ per ton.
According to Rio de Janeiro-based Vale SA, the largest producer, “The oversupply won’t last forever as some smaller producers that started output when prices were much higher won’t be able to survive the slump”. Even now that the commodity’s price is at record low levels, the majors are still looking at the big picture and they both continue to ramp up production in both Brazil and Australia.
From a maritime perspective, the oversupply of global iron ore is one of the main factors that could drive the demand for seaborne trade. The iron ore market fundamentals are changing to the extent where we all hope that the global surplus of the commodity will continue to fuel the rates for Capesize vessels over a prolonged period. The question is, how long it will take until the smaller producers will have to cease operations due to the lower industry price floor.
During last week, the iron majors in both Brazil and Australia were considered as relatively quiet and, as a result, freight rates declined week on week on the Tubarao to Qingdao route to $9.35 per tonne and on the Western Australia to China route to $24 per tonne.
Nevertheless the freight market for capesize bulk carriers is still at sustainable levels and the top iron ore producers are intending to bring even more new supply to the market over the next three years.
The increase in global supply is also affecting the Chinese domestic output and if the majors want to force a high percentage of these producers to shut down, they will have to ensure that prices will remain low for an extended period or at least for the next couple of months.
Even though Chinese iron ore imports decreased more than 6 percent compared to September, the overall sentiment is that they still remain on track for their biggest growth in the last five years, which is somewhat encouraging for now.
This means that at least in the short term the surplus of iron ore in the market will most likely be absorbed mainly by China, while expectations for 2015 are that the global surplus will be approximately 110 million tons. Comparing that to the 2014 surplus of around 60 million tons, yields a clear picture of the oversupply that is flooding the industry and places even more weight on the significance of the Chinese economy.
By Christopher T. Whitty
Marketing Manager - Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 25 November 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q2' 15 DELIVERY CLOSED AT $ 49.55
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, gained week on week.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.12 (-0.24%) ...
Monday, 24 November 14
CHOPPY WATERS IN DRY BULK - SGX
COALspot.com: Dry bulk freight rates have experienced a sharp rise in volatility in recent weeks as bulk commodity supply has ramped up, said SGX i ...
Monday, 24 November 14
Q1 2015 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 52.73
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery closed at US$ 52.73 on 21 November after losing US$ 0.40 (-0.75%) month ove ...
Monday, 24 November 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL: Q2' 15 COAL SWAPS CLOSED LOWER COMPARED TO Q1' 15 SWAPS
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 0.63 (-0.99%) month over month and US$ 0.12 (-0.19%) da ...
Sunday, 23 November 14
SPOT FREIGHT RATES IMPROVED SLIGHTLY OVER PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was up 5.41 pct week on week and closed at 1,324 points on Friday. All the segments were up this week except Panamax index.&n ...
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Showing 3351 to 3355 news of total 6871 |
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- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
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