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Monday, 20 October 14
CHINA'S ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES DO NOT SPELL THE END FOR COAL - WOOD MACKENZIE
 China's environmental policies do not spell the end for coal Analysis across energy commodities show coal still accounting for 64% of power mix by 2030, while overall gas demand growth in China will be strongest
As details for China's Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan (APPCAP) have evolved through 2014, energy suppliers have raised concerns that the continual re-thinking of targets and goals is creating uncertainty for China's energy and resources demand. In 'A moving target - assessing the impact of China's environmental policies', Wood Mackenzie concludes that within the energy, resources and mining sectors, China's recent environmental policies broadly continue to encourage the expansion of natural gas. More surprisingly however, despite some industry belief that this will result in coal's decline, Wood Mackenzie says coal demand will actually be supported and remain the dominant fuel in China's power mix.
Wood Mackenzie forecasts that coal's role in power is likely to decline from 72% to 64% of China's power mix as a result of APPCAP but remains the primary fuel for China. In absolute terms, this translates to coal demand increasing by just over two billion tonnes from now until then. Mr David Brown, Northeast Asia Power Markets Manager, explains, "Tackling chronic air pollution is a clear government priority but not the only one: economic growth, energy security and low cost energy remain paramount. Although initial policy goals focused on expanding the role of gas through demand targets or caps on coal consumption, policy releases throughout 2014 have now evolved to focus on emissions control rather than mass fuel switching to gas."
Northeast Asia Mining and Metals Manager, Mr Rohan Kendall says "The latest APPCAP policies are not aimed at penalising coal, but are a major step towards sustainable policies encouraging clean-coal use. The impact of APPCAP policies will affect the type of coal consumed by coastal power plants and emissions control rather than absolute demand volumes. With a reduced emphasis on switching coal-fired plants to gas for example, utilities will become more prudent in plant operations and coal selection - supporting low-ash and low-sulphur imports".
Even with a reduced emphasis on coal switching to gas, Wood Mackenzie's analysis shows China's environmental policies as broadly positive for gas, despite an expectation of some near-term growing pains as new supplies ramp-up. Gas demand in China will increase from around 207 billion cubic metres (bcm) in 2014 to 335 bcm by 2017, with demand from power, transport and the residential/commercial sectors contributing most to the growth near term. Further on from 2020 to 2030, gas demand will see an annualised average growth rate above four-percent, reaching 655 bcm by this time as China becomes with world's second largest gas market after the US.
Beyond power, gas and coal, Wood Mackenzie expects environmental policies will have little impact on demand for petrochemicals, iron ore, steel and metals. Rather, capacity closures will impact these industries more. Capacity that is out-dated, with high emissions and low margins will gradually see shut downs as the government tightens credit, which has been the lifeline of these industries over the last several years. Still, these capacity closures will not have an impact on production with limited impact on raw material demand. The intention is to consolidate fragmented and less efficient operations, not lower output.
Mr Brown concludes, "The way China's environmental policies have evolved already shows that they do not work in isolation but in a more complex fashion, hand-in-hand with conomic goals. The new leadership is focused on formulating integrated policies that balance these objectives. This approach indicates China's evolving environmental policies are not intended to be destructive for energy, mining, and metals but will rather help these industries grow sustainably and efficiently through the long term."
About Wood Mackenzie
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions.
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Tuesday, 25 November 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q2' 15 DELIVERY CLOSED AT $ 49.55
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, gained week on week.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.12 (-0.24%) ...
Monday, 24 November 14
CHOPPY WATERS IN DRY BULK - SGX
COALspot.com: Dry bulk freight rates have experienced a sharp rise in volatility in recent weeks as bulk commodity supply has ramped up, said SGX i ...
Monday, 24 November 14
Q1 2015 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 52.73
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery closed at US$ 52.73 on 21 November after losing US$ 0.40 (-0.75%) month ove ...
Monday, 24 November 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL: Q2' 15 COAL SWAPS CLOSED LOWER COMPARED TO Q1' 15 SWAPS
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 0.63 (-0.99%) month over month and US$ 0.12 (-0.19%) da ...
Sunday, 23 November 14
SPOT FREIGHT RATES IMPROVED SLIGHTLY OVER PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was up 5.41 pct week on week and closed at 1,324 points on Friday. All the segments were up this week except Panamax index.&n ...
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Coal Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
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