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Wednesday, 17 September 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Since the onslaught of 2013 the rising tide of asset prices had been primarily driven by the increasing freight market conditions and the improving sentiment as to the future prospects of the Dry Bulk markets. Having put behind them the “lean” years of 2011 and 2012, owners were starting to feel more confident about the conditions they would face moving forward.
Many saw a more balanced market were the ore reasonable delivery schedule of newbuildings (compared to that of 2012) would be met with the equal demand growth that they had been accustomed to during the period post the 2008 crisis.
This was a fairly reasonable assumption as there seemed to be nothing in sight that could stop the insatiable appetite from the developing economies for further growth and higher consumption of raw materials. This all proved the more reasonable when just at the start of the final quarter of 2013 a major rally in the freight markets started to take place, bringing earnings to levels that were long forgotten.
Yet this rosy picture painted by many in their mind was already breaking at the seams. The freight market started to plummet back down to the levels seen in early 2013 and whispers started to emerge of an imminent slowdown in growth by the dry bulk’s major driving economy, namely China. Yet this did not seem to have the strong impact many would have anticipated in the secondhand market. Prices continued to climb at an extraordinary rate peaking late April early May were a promise of a strong spring market never materialized. Yet even after this, the correction was only marginal. So why is there still such optimism amongst buyers? and more specifically why still for the larger capsize vessels?
Many may be still convinced that appetite will still be there going forward for both iron ore and coal by the world’s second largest economy. In all truth there may well be a new stimulus plan just around the corner and things may well get back on track with regards to demand. But it seems there is a more indirect cause at play here. While the continual increase in asset prices may be seen as a reflection of a more bullish approach by investors, it seems to be more the excess of financing and the high price ideas held by the few available sellers in the market.
With regards to the former, one must not forget that finance was not easily available during 2011-2012, especially for secondhand purchases and as a consequence the large influx of cash has made most buyers willing to splash out more in order to fuel their expansion plans.
This will inevitably have some consequences going forward as most of this readily available cash comes at a much higher cost then what the traditional bank driven finance would have. As to the side of the sellers, there are few out there willing to part with their assets at lower prices than they have been used to seeing over the past couple of months, and holding a more optimistic view themselves, they are only truly willing sellers at the currently prevailing prices.
The question that holds is how long will this new price reality hold? And will freight rates eventually show the recovery all these prospective buyers are hoping for?
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 03 August 14
LACK OF COAL SHIPMENTS FROM FAR EAST/SE ASIA, THE PRESSURE ON CHARTER RATES CONTINUED THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: This week, the freight rates were almost flat as charter rates were also almost steady from last week.
The BDI was up by 2.59 pc ...
Friday, 01 August 14
UNCERTAINTY IN ASIAN COAL MARKETS WHERE INDEX-LINKED PRICING DOMINATES - SGX
COALspot.com: In the past 3 years, seaborne thermal coal markets have been in a state of constant oversupply.
Reuters expects this oversupply ...
Friday, 01 August 14
U.S PRODUCED 19.4 MMST OF COAL IN A WEEK, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.40 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 31 July 14
CAPESIZE: CARGO VOLUMES, COAL IN PARTICULAR, PRESENTLY NOT SUFFICIENT TO EMPLOY A GROWING FLEET - FERNLEYS
Handy
Both the Atlantic and Pacific has improved in the supramax segment over the last week, said Fernleys in Its latest weekly report . There we ...
Thursday, 31 July 14
RIO TINTO SELLS MOZAMBIQUE COAL ASSETS FOR US$ 50 MILLION TO INDIA'S ICVL
COALspot.com: Rio Tinto has agreed to sell its Mozambique coal assets for just US$ 50 million to International coal ventures Private limited of Ind ...
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- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The University of Queensland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Coal Association
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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