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Tuesday, 09 September 14
WEAK M&A DESPITE ABUNDANT DISTRESSED INDONESIA COAL ASSETS - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings says that a meaningful level of merger and acquisition (M&A) activity leading to a consolidation of the coal sector in Indonesia is unlikely, despite the substantial number of distressed coal companies in the country. Sustained weakness in demand and an uncertain price outlook for Asian thermal coal have prompted the larger coal companies in Indonesia to preserve liquidity and focus on maximising returns from existing projects.
Coal prices have fallen by about 40% from the average prices in 2011, and are not expected to see any material improvement in the next 12-24 months, due to weak import demand from China and strong supply globally.
The larger Indonesian coal miners have already incurred sizable investments in greenfield and brownfield coal projects in the past two to three years, and now have large undeveloped resources. Fitch believes capex will be mostly limited to expanding production of existing assets and bringing some of the economically viable resources to production readiness. Investment spending by these companies on new coal assets will be muted until there is a meaningful recovery in coal prices.
Fitch believes any M&A will be limited to assets that can be relatively easily integrated into existing operations of potential suitors or mines than can be integrated with potential mine-mouth power generation projects supplying to the national grid based on long-term power purchase agreements. We also believe there could be some interest from overseas power generation companies, such as from India, to support their coal requirements in the home market. However, we believe such opportunities are limited compared to the number of distressed coal assets in Indonesia.
An additional obstacle for M&A is regulatory risk. These include national production (or export) caps, increased royalties for the newer (Izin Usaha Pertambangan/IUP) coal license holders (which make up the largest share of the distressed assets). Furthermore, most available greenfield mines are located in Sumatera, which generally contains low calorific value (CV) coals.
Presently, low CV coals face a higher degree of uncertainty in terms of pricing, given a potential ban (or punitive import taxes) on the import of these into China. Given the low energy content and higher investments required for logistics, monetising Sumatran coal has become increasingly more challenging.
Given the weak market conditions and outlook, access to funding, including bank debt and debt capital markets, has also been challenged, except for a very few large, profitable coal producers in Indonesia. This too is proving to be a constraining factor for consolidation.
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Thursday, 02 October 14
CAPESIZE - DULL AND WITHOUT MUCH DIRECTION AS IRON ORE AND COAL VOLUMES FAIL TO LIVE UP EXPECTATIONS
Handy
After the recent weeks´ rate increase in the Atlantic we see Panamaxes snapping up handymax and Supra cargoes at much lower levels, p ...
Wednesday, 01 October 14
ASIAN THERMAL COAL PRICES TO REMAIN WEAK ON OVERSUPPLY - FITCH
COALspot.com: The thermal coal market in Asia will remain oversupplied in the next 12 months, in spite of on-going rationalisation of production, a ...
Wednesday, 01 October 14
PANAMAXES: DEFENSIVE, STRUGGLING TO KEEP ANY FURTHER DECREASES - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market seemed unable to shake off the trend of the week prior and the BDI remained on a downward slope for the bigger pa ...
Wednesday, 01 October 14
FITCH: GLOBAL ECONOMY FACES MULTI-SPEED RECOVERY, MULTIPLE RISKS
Fitch Ratings says in its latest Global Economic Outlook (GEO) that global growth will pick up in 2015 and 2016, but risks are weighted to the down ...
Tuesday, 30 September 14
COALVIEW TO PARTICIPATE AT MET COKE WORLD SUMMIT 2014 IN CHICAGO
COALspot.com: Coalview Ltd., LLC(“Coalview”) America's leading fully integrated coal technology and fine coal recovery company prov ...
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- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The University of Queensland
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- White Energy Company Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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