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Tuesday, 09 September 14
WEAK M&A DESPITE ABUNDANT DISTRESSED INDONESIA COAL ASSETS - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings says that a meaningful level of merger and acquisition (M&A) activity leading to a consolidation of the coal sector in Indonesia is unlikely, despite the substantial number of distressed coal companies in the country. Sustained weakness in demand and an uncertain price outlook for Asian thermal coal have prompted the larger coal companies in Indonesia to preserve liquidity and focus on maximising returns from existing projects.
Coal prices have fallen by about 40% from the average prices in 2011, and are not expected to see any material improvement in the next 12-24 months, due to weak import demand from China and strong supply globally.
The larger Indonesian coal miners have already incurred sizable investments in greenfield and brownfield coal projects in the past two to three years, and now have large undeveloped resources. Fitch believes capex will be mostly limited to expanding production of existing assets and bringing some of the economically viable resources to production readiness. Investment spending by these companies on new coal assets will be muted until there is a meaningful recovery in coal prices.
Fitch believes any M&A will be limited to assets that can be relatively easily integrated into existing operations of potential suitors or mines than can be integrated with potential mine-mouth power generation projects supplying to the national grid based on long-term power purchase agreements. We also believe there could be some interest from overseas power generation companies, such as from India, to support their coal requirements in the home market. However, we believe such opportunities are limited compared to the number of distressed coal assets in Indonesia.
An additional obstacle for M&A is regulatory risk. These include national production (or export) caps, increased royalties for the newer (Izin Usaha Pertambangan/IUP) coal license holders (which make up the largest share of the distressed assets). Furthermore, most available greenfield mines are located in Sumatera, which generally contains low calorific value (CV) coals.
Presently, low CV coals face a higher degree of uncertainty in terms of pricing, given a potential ban (or punitive import taxes) on the import of these into China. Given the low energy content and higher investments required for logistics, monetising Sumatran coal has become increasingly more challenging.
Given the weak market conditions and outlook, access to funding, including bank debt and debt capital markets, has also been challenged, except for a very few large, profitable coal producers in Indonesia. This too is proving to be a constraining factor for consolidation.
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Wednesday, 08 October 14
OIL COULD FALL TO USD80 BEFORE SHALE SUPPLY RESPONSE - FITCH
COALspot.com: Brent oil could fall as low as USD80 a barrel before triggering a self-correcting supply response with shale-oil drillers cutting inv ...
Wednesday, 08 October 14
IS THERE ANY BRIGHT SIDE ON THE DRY BULK SEGMENT? - YANNIS OLZIERSKY
In the movie “Life Of Brian”, a character on a nearby cross was singing the famous “Always look on the bright side of life” ...
Tuesday, 07 October 14
TAIPOWER TO IMPORT 525K MT OF LOW ASH AND EXTRA LOW SULFUR SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: Taiwan Power Company intends to procure 525,000 metric tons of low ash and extra low sulfur sub-bituminous coal for Taipower thermal ...
Tuesday, 07 October 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP SHOWS A FLAT TO WEAK TREND THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps November 2014 delivery flat week on week and gained US$ 0.10 (-0.20%) per mt day on day. The swap also lost US$ ...
Tuesday, 07 October 14
THE RIO TINTO CONFIRMS THAT NO DISCUSSIONS ARE TAKING PLACE WITH GLENCORE
COALspot.com: The board of Rio Tinto notes the recent press speculation regarding a possible combination of Rio Tinto and Glencore.The Rio Tinto bo ...
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Economic Council, Georgia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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