We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining,
shipping, etc.
To Submit your article please click here.
|
|
|
Tuesday, 22 July 14
INDONESIAN ELECTION RESULT ENCOURAGING FOR FOREIGN INVESTMENT IN ENERGY AND MINING SECTORS - WOOD MACKENZIE
Joko Widodo-Jusuf Kalla has been announced as the official winner of Indonesia's presidential election. Joko Widodo, or Jokowi, is viewed as a more progressive and pragmatic choice for President than his opponent, Prawbowo Subianto.
Wood Mackenzie says that Jokowi's victory will generate short-term positivity for foreign companies looking to invest in Indonesia's energy and mining sectors. However, the new government's ability to implement reforms remains uncertain. A lack of a majority in the senate will weaken the government's ability to push through all reforms required to reinvigorate the investment environment and contribute to a revived Indonesian economy. The significance of this political development for the mining, upstream oil and gas, and fuel sectors are noted below.
Mining
Jokowi could shift the regulatory environment towards being more accommodating of foreign investment and mining in general. Wood Mackenzie's Senior Coal Analyst Rory Simington explains, "Mining-friendly regulatory change is possible, however it is likely to be incremental rather than exponential." Implications for the mining sector are:
- Current official policies are unlikely to be reversed. These include the ban on mineral exports, requirements for divesture of foreign ownership, and Coal Contracts of Work renegotiation.
- The previous DPI-P led government of Megawati Sukarnoputri from 2001 to 2004 showed a willingness to appoint people from industry instead of politicians to prominent positions in key ministries. If the Widodo led DPI-P coalition government appoints a competent administrator with industry experience to head the Department of Energy and Mineral Resources, this could result in mining friendly changes to the regulatory environment.
- Based on discussions with industry contacts in Indonesia, we believe that changes could include easing of foreign investment divesture requirements, and reducing minimum levels of purity that must be achieved for metals refining before export is allowed. Any changes are likely to be incremental rather than exponential.
Upstream oil and gas
Wood Mackenzie believes the wider implications of the election result will be felt more in the oil and gas sector. Wood Mackenzie's Senior Upstream Analyst, Andrew Harwood says, "At a time of growing domestic energy demand, declining indigenous production, and after several years of regulatory instability, the government's ability to implement Jokowi's proposed reforms will be key." Implications for the upstream sector are:
- Indonesia's crude output has fallen from over 1 million barrels per day in 2005 to currently just over 800,000. The domestic fuel subsidy bill is approaching US$21 billion (bn) in 2014, and regulatory uncertainty has stalled several major investment projects, such as Chevron's Indonesia Deepwater development, Inpex's Abadi FLNG and BP's Tangguh expansion.
- Jokowi has outlined plans to reduce Indonesia's reliance on oil imports by developing new gas infrastructure and accelerating the switch to gas. He aims to boost oil and gas output by providing enhanced fiscal terms for mature fields and exploration, and removing red-tape, which would also apply to the mining sector.
- A revision of the 2001 Oil and Gas Law and formalisation of the upstream regulator's role is a longer term objective that would enhance the investment environment by removing regulatory uncertainty. The sanction of Chevron's Indonesia Deepwater development, Inpex's Abadi FLNG and BP's Tangguh expansion could generate over US$30bn of new investment in Indonesia's oil and gas sector.
- While we would expect PERTAMINA to play a greater role in Indonesia's upstream sector under Jokowi, the new president also recognises the benefits of working with international investors to secure technological know-how as well as investment.
- Overall, Jokowi's victory will generate short-term positivity in the energy sector. However, the new government's ability to implement the proposed reforms remains uncertain.
Fuels market
Sushant Gupta, Head of Asia Pacific Downstream Research, says, "Subsidies are a huge burden to the government because around 60% of the total oil demand is subsidised. During the period of 2014-2020, we estimate the total fuel subsidy bill to be around US$120bn, assuming current domestic prices in Indonesia. This accounts for around three-percent of GDP and is therefore unsustainable." As a result, Wood Mackenzie expects Jokowi's government to make changes:
- The government is expected to push through further price reforms, which will impact near-term demand. However, the income-effect prevails in the medium term and will drive demand growth.
- If subsidies are sharply reduced, we could see a demand drop of around 60-70 thousand barrels per day (kb/d) in gasoline and 45-50 kb/d in diesel.
- The current market size of unsubsidised retail fuels (gasoline and diesel) is very small; however, there is a huge upside potential if the government fully deregulates the market. This would provide a good market opportunity to foreign players operating in the unsubsidised retail fuels market or new players looking to invest in refining and retail sectors in Indonesia.
Editor’s notes:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit: www.woodmac.com
If you believe an article violates your rights or the rights of others, please contact us.
|
|
Friday, 18 July 14
3RD CHINA INTERNATIONAL SHALE GAS SUMMIT
Building on the massive success of the past 2 shale gas programs that has generated huge success by attracting 500+ industry players, and intrig ...
Friday, 18 July 14
US WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP BY 1.4% TO 18.3 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.3 million short tons (mmst) of coal in a ...
Thursday, 17 July 14
PANAMAX : MARKET HAS COOLED DOWN AGAIN TO LOW AND DEPRESSED LEVELS
Handy
The supra market remains pretty flat in the Atlantic while for the smaller sizes there has been little reported with ships chasing business ...
Thursday, 17 July 14
INDIAN GOVERNMENT WISE TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF CURRENTLY LOW THERMAL COAL PRICES AND SHIPPING RATES - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
With thermal coal import prices (and also shipping rates) very low at present, India's government would be very wise to take advantage of curre ...
Wednesday, 16 July 14
INDIA BUDGET HAS LIMITED SHORT TERM IMPACT ON POWER SECTOR - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings says that the measures announced relating to India's electricity sector in the budget for FY2015 are directionally correct but in ...
|
|
|
Showing 3596 to 3600 news of total 6871 |
|
 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
 |
|
|
| |
|
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The University of Queensland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
|
| |
| |
|