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Monday, 14 July 14
THE END OF THE ERA OF HEAVY FUEL OIL IN MARITIME SHIPPING - ICCT
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Since the 1960s, heavy fuel oil (HFO) has been the king of marine fuels. Viscous, dirty, yet inexpensive and widely available, HFO propelled a long period of robust growth in international shipping, which carries over 90% of intercontinental trade by volume each year. For many, it is the lifeblood of the maritime shipping industry.
But HFO’s low price does not reflect its impacts on the environment and human health. The sulfur content of HFO can be up to 35,000 parts per million. It is the reason that maritime shipping accounts for 8% of global emissions of sulfur dioxide (SO2), making the industry an important source for acid rain as well as respiratory diseases. In some populous port cities, such as Hong Kong, shipping is the largest single source of SO2 emissions as well as emissions of particulate matter (PM), which are directly tied to the sulfur content of fuel. By one estimate, PM emissions from maritime shipping led to 87,000 premature deaths worldwide in 2012.
The International Maritime Organization (IMO), the governing body of international shipping, has made a decisive effort to diversify the industry away from HFO into cleaner fuels with less harmful effects on the environment and human health. Effective in 2015, ships operated within the Emission Control Areas (ECAs) covering the Economic Exclusive Zone of North America, the Baltic Sea, the North Sea, and the English Channel will begin to use Marine Gas Oil (MGO) with allowable sulfur content up to 1,000 ppm. Starting from 2020, ships sailing outside ECAs will switch to Marine Diesel Oil (MDO) with permitted sulfur content up to 5,000 ppm.*
That tectonic shift also creates openings for a variety of new fuels. Liquefied nature gas (LNG), newly abundant and relatively affordable, is attracting the attention of many shipping companies. Although the lack of infrastructure and the uncertainty of future prices have slowed the “dash to gas,” many expect LNG to establish itself as one of major alternatives to HFO in the future. Lloyds Registry, a shipping classification society, expects LNG to take 11% of the market share in 2030.
Meanwhile, Stena Teknik, a Swedish company, is testing methanol, another natural gas product, but one that requires less storage space in a ship and is relatively easier to handle. While natural gas-based fuels may sometimes offer questionable climate benefits, due to methane leakage concerns, the IMO’s low-sulfur regulation may create needed openings for other zero-sulfur, low-carbon marine fuels. Tests using fuel cells on the Viking Lady, an offshore supply ship, demonstrated promising results.
Wind kites and solar panels have already been installed on numerous ships to supplement marine diesel engines. Even HFO will not completely disappear from the menu of marine fuels. Combined with scrubbers that capture more than 99% of the sulfur from the exhaust gas, HFO will continue to play an important role. Lloyds Registry reckons that HFO will represent about 40% of fuel use by 2030.
The shift to cleaner but pricier low-sulfur fuels is likely to heighten interest in the “fifth fuel”: energy efficiency. Historically, the maritime shipping industry, where energy often accounts for over half of operating costs, has responded to escalating fuel prices with innovative energy-saving strategies. To cite a recent example: in 2008, as fuel prices went through the roof, shipping lines cut their operating speeds by as much as 50%, helping many companies stay afloat amid one of the worst downturns in history. In an analysis of satellite data on ship operations, we’ve estimated that the industry can further slash 100 million ton of fuel use by 2030 through wider implementation of energy-saving measures that were adopted by industry leaders in 2011.
This is in addition to savings of 90 million tons of fuel because of the Energy Efficiency Design Index (EEDI), a mandatory program that will require new ships to achieve certain efficiency targets beginning in 2015.
The continued diversification of marine fuels and improvements in energy efficiency have important implications. First and foremost, they may alleviate concerns about the availability of low-sulfur fuels. Figure 1 illustrates one possible scenario, using our forecast on future marine fuel consumption and energy efficiency improvements as well as Lloyds Registry’s estimate of market shares for HFO and LNG. The efficiency improvement of the legacy fleet is the greatest force driving down the need for low-sulfur fuels, equivalent to adding about 110 “negatons” of fuel, or almost 24% of projected demand. HFO combined with scrubbers, EEDI, and distillates (MGO plus MDO) are almost neck and neck, each representing about 20% of fuel use in the chart. LNG is coming of age, with its share doubling between 2020 and 2030. Other fuels, such as renewables, fuel cells, and biofuels, are expected to hold only small market shares in 2030.
Second, the new fuels are on a collision course with IMO safety regulations concerning flashpoint, the temperature at which a fuel can vaporize to form an ignitable mixture in air.
The IMO currently requires marine fuels to have a minimum flashpoint of 60°C. But low-sulfur fuels have a lower flashpoint (50° to 55°C), meaning that they are “off-spec” and cannot be used under the IMO rule. The flashpoint requirement, which went into effect in 1976, was meant to provide a large margin of error to ensure the temperature of the engine room (normally below 45°C) does not exceed the flashpoint in any circumstance. But according to industry heavyweights such as Maersk and BIMCO, modern technologies such as advanced ventilation systems provide an adequate safety margin, and they argue that keeping the flashpoint requirement will cause the industry to miss the opportunity represented by the increased availability of low-sulfur, low-flashpoint fuels. Industry and member states such as the U.S. are urging the IMO to accelerate its consideration of an amendment to the flashpoint requirement.
By: Haifeng Wang / The International Council of Clean Transportation
*Implementation of the requirement is subject to a review of fuel availability to be completed by 2016.
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Wednesday, 18 June 14
CHINESE STEEL PRODUCTION SETS RECORD DURING FIRST TEN DAYS OF JUNE - COMMODORE RESEARCH & CONSULTANCY
Recently released data shows that average daily crude steel production at China's key steel mills hit a record high of 1.833 million tons durin ...
Wednesday, 18 June 14
MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
Back in January the expectations for Q3 and Q4 were more than great. Talks and claims for a rising BDI and a healthy market were coming from everyw ...
Tuesday, 17 June 14
DRY BULK FREIGHT RATES TO RISE DURING THE SECOND HALF OF 2014, AS CHINA IS EXPECTED TO START IMPORTING MORE IRON ORE FROM BRAZIL - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In its latest analysis of the dry bulk market, BIMCO said that it doesn’t expect freight rates to react significantly to increased demand bef ...
Monday, 16 June 14
INDONESIAN COAL SWAPS FOR Q3 DELIVERY FALL 2.34 % MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 lost on day, week and on month according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports re ...
Monday, 16 June 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FALL CONTINUES THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q3 14 deliveries lost 4.34 percent month on month and closed at US$ 71.05 per mt a ...
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- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The University of Queensland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
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