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Wednesday, 27 November 13
US WHEAT IMPORTS TO BRAZIL, REACHED A 35 - YEAR HIGH - EVA TZIMA
COALspot.com: As I am going through a number of dry market fixtures reported since the beginning of October, my eyes instinctively stop where they detect fixtures concluded in the U.S. Gulf. The strength of freight rates in the region has been remarkable, boosting Supra, Handymax and Handy size tonnage significantly. As the grain season kicked in, we expected fixing activity to rise, but this year round it seems that seasonality has been coupled with a few more factors, to create the perfect conditions for specific voyages ex-USG to heat up as U.S. grain exports started to jump. Partly responsible for this increase, was the foreign demand for wheat, with the biggest chunk of it originating from Brazil.
Brazil, the climate of which is known not to be very suitable for growing wheat, is one of the major importers of the commodity around the world. Traditionally, the biggest portion of the country's imports is prioritized to be satisfied by Mercosul countries, (the trading block comprised of Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Paraguay, and Uruguay). Amongst them, Argentina has historically been the main grains power house accommodating Brazil's wheat demand, but it seems that this year this wasn't the case. In fact, supply from Argentina dropped heavily due to adverse weather conditions in the country, which weighed down on the 2012/2013 harvest.
As a result, in the beginning of 2013, the government of Argentina stepped in to set a cap on wheat exports for the remaining of the year, to avoid domestic shortages until the November/December 2013 crop would be made available. By restricting exports, the Argentineans have rendered necessary for Brazil to turn to other countries for their imports. In doing so, the Brazilian government, has also completely eliminated the common External Tariff, a tax typically imposed on imports from non-Mercosul countries.
With no added tax, the U.S. produced wheat as for the first time in a while priced quite attractively, which resulted in Brazil turning to North America to cover not only for the absence of shipments from Argentina but also for what was a very poor year of Brazilian domestic production, estimated by the USDA (U.S. Department of Agriculture) to be around 24% lower than the 2011/2012 harvest. The effect of this trade shift was a surge in U.S. wheat imports to Brazil, which reached a 35-year high, accounting for well over 90% of the country's total imported quantity year to date. The positive effect in freight rates has been evident and there are already signs that this trend could last longer than what some anticipate.
The 2013/2014 Argentinean harvest, which mainly takes place in December and is already slightly delayed, is expected to be much lower than expected.
The figure the Rosario Grains Exchange released late last week came in at 9.1 MT, which is well below the 11Mt the USDA was expecting and less than a million above last year's crop. This means that restrictions on Argentinean exports could well extend their duration, as a limited crop for a second year in a row would probably only allow for a small portion to be exported once again. Additionally, big traders, in the likes of Cargill, Bunge, ADM and Louis Dreyfus, are still dealing with approval requirements to export Argentinean grains, with issues of tax due to the local producers still pending and hindering any possible trading from the world's leading grain exporters, while at the same time, the Brazilian Wheat Millers Association is pushing for the Common External Tariff to be kept at zero throughout 2014 as well.
If the no-tax policy to non-Mercosul imports is extended by the Brazilian government, then, together with weak Argentinean production, it should sustain the attractiveness of the U.S. wheat well in place, together with the strength of the geared sizes in the USG, freight rates for which should find further support in the region.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations | research@intermodal.gr
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 18 November 13
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP LOST ON WEEK; MARGINALLY GAINED ON DAY
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained $ 1.25 pmt month on month on Friday 15 Novemb ...
Sunday, 17 November 13
Q4' 14 API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED $ 3.43 PMT (4.34 %) HIGHER THAN Q1' 14 SWAP
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained 0.05 percept d-d on Friday 15 November 2013. The CFR South ...
Saturday, 16 November 13
INDONESIA TO INDIA SUPRAMAX FREIGHT RATES FIRM DUE TO STRONG COAL ACTIVITIES
COALspot.com: The Cape and Panamax index was down this week and pulling down the BDI by about 5 pct. BDI was closed at 1507 points on Friday 1 ...
Friday, 15 November 13
DRY BULK MARKET STILL LINGERING ON, DESPITE PREDICTIONS OF NEW IMMINENT RALLY PRIOR TO THE YEAR'S END - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market hasn't yet managed to stage a new comeback after its retreat from the recent multiyear highs. Yesterday, the industry's benchm ...
Friday, 15 November 13
US COAL PRODUCTION UP 2.59% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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