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Saturday, 02 November 13
DRY BULK SHIPPERS AREN'T CELEBRATING, BUT THEIR SILENCE IS GOLDEN - MARKET REALIST
In October, performance for major dry bulk shipping companies was mixed. Companies like DryShips Inc. (DRYS) had pulled back more than Diana Shipping Inc. (DSX), while a few like Safe Bulkers Inc. (SB) and Navios Maritime Holdings Inc. (NM) were able to hold onto gains in August and September.
Recap of this week’s key indicators
Despite recent sell-offs, the medium-to-long-term outlook of the dry bulk shipping industry hasn’t changed. Rising ship orders continue to reflect managers’ optimism, and the construction level is slowing down, which means future capacity growth will be lower. Higher scrapping activity likely reflects short-term weakness. But if the long-term trend holds, we should see scrapping activity come down soon.
While early shipments of iron ore led to an earlier peak in shipping rates, and shipping rates (Capesize in particular) have fallen in October, the dry bulk trade should continue to grow into 2014. Falling iron ore prices will reflect new iron ore production rather than weaker demand, which will support iron ore trade.
Despite higher iron ore inventory in China, it remains significantly below the long-term trend line, suggesting room for further purchases of iron ore over the medium to long term. In the short term, we can face headwinds because the interest rate in China has risen and credit is tighter than before. Because holding iron ore at ports costs money, tighter credit and higher interest rate is a short-term headwind. It’s important to be cautious, but it’s also key not to get scared. With steel price in China near the long-term support, the government would likely step in to support the economy if it faltered.
Silence is golden
As dry bulk shipping rates have fallen, so has the mention of dry bulk shippers in the news. But silence is golden. It’s times like this, when nobody is saying anything, that investors are slowly building positions and advancing like silent troops in the night. As long as these trends remain positive, we should see dry bulk shipping companies deliver positive returns over the next few months and quarters.
For those who missed last week’s series that contained several indicators about China’s economic activity, see Weekly trends that affect dry bulk shipping companies’ future.
economic activity, see Weekly trends that affect dry bulk shipping companies’ future.
Source: Market Realist / Hellenic shipping news
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Monday, 06 January 14
INDONESIAN COAL SWAPS SLIDE TO $ 61.25 FOR Q4' 14 DELIVERY
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB) for average Q1’ 14 delivery lost $ 0.32 pmt month on month on Friday 3 January 2014. Th ...
Sunday, 05 January 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR Q3 DELIVERY CLOSED $ 80.05, A $ 0.90 LOWER THAN Q1 PRICE
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1’ 14 delivery lost 1.40 percept day on day closed at US$ 80.95 per mt as o ...
Sunday, 05 January 14
CENTRAL BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION OF INDIA REGISTERS CASES IN CONNECTION WITH ALLEGED SUPPLY OF LOW QUALITY INDONESIAN COAL BY A PRIVATE COMPANY TO NTPC & NSPCL
COALspot.com: The Central Bureau of Investigation of India has registered two cases regarding alleged supply of low quality imported Indonesian coal ...
Saturday, 04 January 14
THE INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT TO DOWNSIZE ITS COAL PRODUCTION TARGET TO 400 MMT THIS YEAR
COALspot.com: Indonesia to downsize its coal production target to 400 million tons in 2014, lower than the production in 2013, which stood at 421 mi ...
Friday, 03 January 14
IN 2013 RBCT HAS, FOR THE FIRST TIME, EXPORTED MORE THAN 70 MILLION TONS OF COAL
COALspot.com: South Africa's Richards Bay coal terminal, the world’s largest single coal exporting terminal shipped 6.788 million tonnes of c ...
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- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
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