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Saturday, 02 November 13
DRY BULK SHIPPERS AREN'T CELEBRATING, BUT THEIR SILENCE IS GOLDEN - MARKET REALIST
In October, performance for major dry bulk shipping companies was mixed. Companies like DryShips Inc. (DRYS) had pulled back more than Diana Shipping Inc. (DSX), while a few like Safe Bulkers Inc. (SB) and Navios Maritime Holdings Inc. (NM) were able to hold onto gains in August and September.
Recap of this week’s key indicators
Despite recent sell-offs, the medium-to-long-term outlook of the dry bulk shipping industry hasn’t changed. Rising ship orders continue to reflect managers’ optimism, and the construction level is slowing down, which means future capacity growth will be lower. Higher scrapping activity likely reflects short-term weakness. But if the long-term trend holds, we should see scrapping activity come down soon.
While early shipments of iron ore led to an earlier peak in shipping rates, and shipping rates (Capesize in particular) have fallen in October, the dry bulk trade should continue to grow into 2014. Falling iron ore prices will reflect new iron ore production rather than weaker demand, which will support iron ore trade.
Despite higher iron ore inventory in China, it remains significantly below the long-term trend line, suggesting room for further purchases of iron ore over the medium to long term. In the short term, we can face headwinds because the interest rate in China has risen and credit is tighter than before. Because holding iron ore at ports costs money, tighter credit and higher interest rate is a short-term headwind. It’s important to be cautious, but it’s also key not to get scared. With steel price in China near the long-term support, the government would likely step in to support the economy if it faltered.
Silence is golden
As dry bulk shipping rates have fallen, so has the mention of dry bulk shippers in the news. But silence is golden. It’s times like this, when nobody is saying anything, that investors are slowly building positions and advancing like silent troops in the night. As long as these trends remain positive, we should see dry bulk shipping companies deliver positive returns over the next few months and quarters.
For those who missed last week’s series that contained several indicators about China’s economic activity, see Weekly trends that affect dry bulk shipping companies’ future.
economic activity, see Weekly trends that affect dry bulk shipping companies’ future.
Source: Market Realist / Hellenic shipping news
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Wednesday, 08 January 14
SHIPPING: THE ABSOLUTE BOTTOM OF THE CYCLE WAS REACHED AND PASSED - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
COALspot.com: To many in the industry 2013 has been the turning point in the market where the absolute bottom of the cycle was reached and passed.
...
Tuesday, 07 January 14
INDONESIA RAISES COAL PRICE THIS MONTH
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia has increased government declared coal bench mark price by US$ 1.59 / MT ...
Tuesday, 07 January 14
NEWCASTLE COAL TERMINAL'S COAL EXPORTS SLIDE TO 3.54 MMT W/E 30 DECEMBER 13
COALspot.com: In the week ended December 30, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totalled 3.54 ...
Tuesday, 07 January 14
US COAL OUTPUT SLIDES 9 PCT WEEK ON WEEK, EIA SAYS
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 17.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Monday, 06 January 14
ARGUS LAUNCHES SPOT CFR EAST COAST INDIA COAL ASSESSMENTS
COALspot.com: Global energy and commodity news and price reporting agency Argus has announced today that, the company has launched CFR coal assessme ...
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- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PTC India Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
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