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Friday, 18 October 13
WOOD MACKENZIE FORECASTS CHINA WILL OUTWEIGH THE REST OF THE WORLD FOR BASE METALS DEMAND BY 2017
 China set to account for 52% of 117mt base metals market by 2017
China is on track to exceed rest of the World demand by 2017, becoming the single largest consumer of base metals. According to Wood Mackenzie’s latest base metals demand forecasts, China will account for 52% of base metals demand by 2017, compared with 46% of the 96 million tonnes (Mt) global base metals market in 2013. While China’s lower GDP targets are reflected in lower demand growth for base metals on a percentage basis over the next five years versus the last half decade, the research firm says that China will maintain its dominance and the outlook for Chinese base metals demand is slower not lower.
Helen Matthews, Head of Base Metals Markets research for Wood Mackenzie says; “Our forecasts for the next five years show that across all of the base metals – aluminium, copper, lead, nickel and zinc – growth in demand will come predominately from China. Demand growth has slowed from the double digits we saw from 2008 to 2013 to single digits - ranging from five to eight percent – however, it’s important to note that in absolute tonnage terms we still see significant numbers.”
Wood Mackenzie says that the global base metals market is set to grow from 96Mt in 2013 to 122 Mt in 2018, with a huge shift set to occur in 2017; “Today, the Rest of the World, excluding China, accounts for 54% of the global base metals market however, as we’re seeing with many other commodities, China’s rampant appetite will overtake the rest of the World, growing to 52% of demand in a 117Mt market.”
Wood Mackenzie’s economic analysis points to the drivers behind this growth as Jonathan Butcher, Senior Economist for Wood Mackenzie explains; “While there are a number of factors behind growth in demand for each base metal, a key theme for China is continued urbanisation and rising domestic wealth. Wood Mackenzie’s proprietary China Activity Index tracks a number of factors, and gives us confidence that economic growth will remain strong in the short term. Looking out to 2030, we see a bright future for Chinese commodity demand. Urbanisation rates will reach 70%, compared to just under half of the population in 2013. This will have a widespread impact on the economy over the next 20 years, with electricity consumption per capita forecast to reach the same level as Korea today.”
Matthews adds; “Our analysis shows that the outlook for key demand drivers is positive, with a firm emphasis on Asia.”
Editor’s notes:
Wood Mackenzie is the most comprehensive source of knowledge about the world’s energy and metals industries. We analyse and advise on every stage along the value chain - from discovery to delivery, and beyond - to provide clients with the commercial insight that makes them stronger. For more information visit: www.woodmac.com
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Wednesday, 04 September 13
RBCT SHIPPED 16.18 PERCENT MORE COAL IN JULY
COALspot.com - Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) is the single largest coal export terminal South African as well as in the world has shipped 6,162, ...
Wednesday, 04 September 13
SUPRAS AND HANDIES : INDONESIAN COAL CARGOES ARE SUPPORTING HEALTHY ACTIVITY LEVELS - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market has pooled back a bit this week after firming for two weeks in a row. The BDI is s holding above 1,100 points and despite the sm ...
Tuesday, 03 September 13
AUSTRALIA'S NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 22.93 PER CENT MORE COAL W-O-W
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port up 22.93 per cent week on week to 3.39 million mt for ...
Sunday, 01 September 13
COAL SWAP SHOWS MIXED TREND
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery 1.25 percent up month on month. The swap was moved posit ...
Sunday, 01 September 13
INDONESIA TO INDIA SPOT FREIGHT STAYS FIRM THIS WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to be firm with even though the BDI and Cape index dropped by about 3 pct week on week.
The BDI was do ...
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- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The University of Queensland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Australian Coal Association
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- White Energy Company Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
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