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Friday, 18 October 13
WOOD MACKENZIE FORECASTS CHINA WILL OUTWEIGH THE REST OF THE WORLD FOR BASE METALS DEMAND BY 2017
 China set to account for 52% of 117mt base metals market by 2017
China is on track to exceed rest of the World demand by 2017, becoming the single largest consumer of base metals. According to Wood Mackenzie’s latest base metals demand forecasts, China will account for 52% of base metals demand by 2017, compared with 46% of the 96 million tonnes (Mt) global base metals market in 2013. While China’s lower GDP targets are reflected in lower demand growth for base metals on a percentage basis over the next five years versus the last half decade, the research firm says that China will maintain its dominance and the outlook for Chinese base metals demand is slower not lower.
Helen Matthews, Head of Base Metals Markets research for Wood Mackenzie says; “Our forecasts for the next five years show that across all of the base metals – aluminium, copper, lead, nickel and zinc – growth in demand will come predominately from China. Demand growth has slowed from the double digits we saw from 2008 to 2013 to single digits - ranging from five to eight percent – however, it’s important to note that in absolute tonnage terms we still see significant numbers.”
Wood Mackenzie says that the global base metals market is set to grow from 96Mt in 2013 to 122 Mt in 2018, with a huge shift set to occur in 2017; “Today, the Rest of the World, excluding China, accounts for 54% of the global base metals market however, as we’re seeing with many other commodities, China’s rampant appetite will overtake the rest of the World, growing to 52% of demand in a 117Mt market.”
Wood Mackenzie’s economic analysis points to the drivers behind this growth as Jonathan Butcher, Senior Economist for Wood Mackenzie explains; “While there are a number of factors behind growth in demand for each base metal, a key theme for China is continued urbanisation and rising domestic wealth. Wood Mackenzie’s proprietary China Activity Index tracks a number of factors, and gives us confidence that economic growth will remain strong in the short term. Looking out to 2030, we see a bright future for Chinese commodity demand. Urbanisation rates will reach 70%, compared to just under half of the population in 2013. This will have a widespread impact on the economy over the next 20 years, with electricity consumption per capita forecast to reach the same level as Korea today.”
Matthews adds; “Our analysis shows that the outlook for key demand drivers is positive, with a firm emphasis on Asia.”
Editor’s notes:
Wood Mackenzie is the most comprehensive source of knowledge about the world’s energy and metals industries. We analyse and advise on every stage along the value chain - from discovery to delivery, and beyond - to provide clients with the commercial insight that makes them stronger. For more information visit: www.woodmac.com
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Tuesday, 10 September 13
COAL EXPORTS AT AUSTRALIA'S NEWCASTLE PORT SLIP 30.31% ON WEEK TO 2.36 MMT
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port down 30.31 per cent week on week to 2.36 million mt f ...
Tuesday, 10 September 13
WORLDWIDE COAL CONSUMPTION RISES SHARPLY - RA DR. ERICH SCHMITZ
By: RA Dr. Erich Schmitz, Verein der Kohlenimporteure (Germany Coal Importers Association)
World hard coal market in the first half of 2013: worl ...
Monday, 09 September 13
REBOUND IN NEWBUILDING ORDERS HASN'T HURT DRY BULK MARKET PROSPECTS, BUT SHIP OWNERS SHOULD STILL BE CAUTIOUS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Since the start of 2013 and up until the end of August, one thing has really caught the headlines in the dry bulk market, except of course, the frei ...
Sunday, 08 September 13
Q3 2014 THERMAL COAL SWAPS : STEADY DIRECTION
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery up 1.88 percent month on month. The swap was moved ...
Sunday, 08 September 13
BALTIC INDEX UP ON HIGHER CAPESIZE, PANAMAX RATES
COALspot.com : The freight market continued saw one of the biggest rally last week with Cape Size taking the lead followed by Panamax.
The BDI wa ...
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Australian Coal Association
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The University of Queensland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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