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Wednesday, 16 October 13
WILL THIS LATEST DRY BULK MARKET UPTREND PROVE TO BE AS LONG-LIVED OR JUST ANOTHER MOMENTARY SPIKE? - CHRISTOS MANZTIOS
COALspot.com: So here we are again facing the same old question: Will this latest market uptrend prove to be as long-lived as all owners hope or just another momentary spike which will deflate at the first signs of trouble?, said Christos Manztios a SnP Broker from Intermodal in his latest weekly report.
According to Christos Manztios, the dry bulk market, despite having been on a roller coaster ride since early spring, has now entered the seasonally strong months of October and November with renewed optimism. But this might come at price: Renewed optimism might result in a flurry of new-building activity/ordering which could, if done in excess, ultimately tip the scales against owners once again.
Intermodal's analyst Manztios said his latest report, albeit the improved market conditions, new ordering have seemingly started to slow down as the lack of availability of early slots (now seeing early to mid-2016) coupled with rising NB prices have both started to take their toll on buying interest. During September the dry bulk market witnessed a total of 58 dry orders, with Ultramaxes holding the lion's share and numbering 22 in total, while Handies closely followed in volume with 21.
For the time being new building capacity seems to be waning, with several shipbuilders already limiting production in many of their facilities and overstretching their slots’ schedule. This has worked fine so far, but as freight earnings start to improve and in turn we see ever growing demand for new orders, shipbuilders will inevitably seeks to remobilize their unused resources and step back up to full production, plaguing the industry with excess tonnage supply once again, Intermodal weekly report said.
According to Intermodal weekly report, Greek owners top the list for NB orders placed so far this year in terms of both number of vessels and dwt (131 vessels/11.7 mill dwt) followed by Japanese owners in terms of number of ships (106 vessels/4.2mill dwt) and Chinese owners in terms of dwt (96 vessels/6 mill dwt). Greek buyers also dominated the second hand market as well, with one in every four vessels that changed hand during 2013 ending up to a Greek buyer and at ever higher prices.
This is epitomized in the likes of sales such as that of the M/V Cape Challenger (180kdwt blt 2013 IHI) and M/V JK Pioneer (180kdwt blt 2013 HHI) which were reported sold reg USD 52mill each, a sharp appreciation in price when compared (especially taking into account the fact that the sale was included by a below market charter attached of USD 11,000/day till May 2014) with the sale of M/V Bulk Canada (180kdwt blt 2012 Hanjin Philippines) reg USD 41.25mill back in August.
"This trend is not solely attributed to the freight rally in Capes but also backed by both an overall positive perception as to the prospects of the market from 2014 onwards and the still attractively-priced assets across all size segments (at least in comparison with pre-2012 levels where a 5 year old Cape was priced above USD 36.0 mill, a 5 year old Panamax above USD 26.5 mill and a 5 year old Supramax was above USD 24,5 mill)," according to Intermodal's analyst Manztios.
Caution (and eye-brows) may have been raised as to the potential longevity of the recent run-up in freight rates, but it doesn’t look like the upward momentum is over just yet. Things may have slowed down for Capes, but with their average freight rates still holding above 30,000/day and with the rest of the size segments slowing showing signs of catching up in gains, it will all depend to what extent this positive momentum can hold and how well these new market conditions will hold up in the first quarter of 2014 a period in the year that tends to be considerably softer and a good indicator as to how well the market will perform during the whole year, Christos Manztios a SnP Broker from Intermodal concluded.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations | research@intermodal.gr
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 01 October 13
DRY BULK MARKET POISED FOR RETREAT ON CHINA HOLIDAY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The start of a national weeklong in China as of Tuesday is expected to put a lid in the latest rally of the dry bulk freight market, as has always b ...
Monday, 30 September 13
NEWCASTLE'S COAL EXPORT VOLUME CONTINUES TO SLIP
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port fell 8.38 per cent week on week to 2.67 million mt fo ...
Monday, 30 September 13
PANAMAX CHARTER RATES TOUCHING US$ 18K FOR A TRIP TO NOPAC - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com : The freight market continued to remain firm, BDI and the Panamax index up week ended 27 September 2013.
The cape index was fell to ...
Sunday, 29 September 13
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL Q3 2014 DELIVERY SWAP GAINED $1.19 M-O-M
COALspot.com : SGX has launched API 8 CFR South China Coal Swap on 29 April 2013 and SGX replaced the previous swap.
API 8 CFR South China Coal s ...
Sunday, 29 September 13
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP FELL ON MONTH AND WEEK
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery fell 3.93 percept month on month on Friday 27 September 2 ...
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- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
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