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Thursday, 12 September 13
CAPESIZE MARKET WILL BECOME EVEN TIGHTER - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
COALspot.com : While it is no secret that current capesize availability has become tight and has caused capesize rates to surge, availability is set to become even tighter in the near future once Drummond coal cargoes return to the market (when the strike is resolved) and also due to the very large amount of Brazilian iron ore cargoes that have continued to surface. So far this week, 10 capesize vessels have been chartered to haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes. This is a very large amount, and already exceeds the robust 9 capesize vessels that were chartered to haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes during all of last week.
The last time that 10 or more capesize vessels were chartered to haul iron ore cargoes in a single week was the Week Ending November 16, 2012. Chinese demand for imported iron ore is currently very strong, which is helping capesize rates to surge. However, the capesize market will again benefit from the current level of activity as spot capesize availability will find itself even tighter in the near future. It is extremely encouraging for the capesize market that so many capesize vessels have recently been chartered for long-haul Brazil to China iron ore exports. In addition, Atlantic basin spot capesize availability will become even more tight whenever the Drummond coal strike officially comes to an end.
For the capesize market, near term prospects remain encouraging. There will be fluctuations whenever there are brief dips in Chinese demand, but overall we believe in the weeks and months to come there will be days when average daily capesize rates easily increase by over $3,000 in a single day. That’s the beauty of dry bulk shipping. Demand for vessels is quite inelastic and not very responsive to changes in prices. When a charterer needs a vessel, he (she) needs a vessel. And when spot vessel availability is tight, an environment is created where freight rates are prone to large increases. With some many capesize vessels recently being chartered to haul long-haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes -- and with an increase in Drummond coal cargoes being poised to re-emerge in the market at some point like in the near future -- the already tight capesize market will become even tighter.
By: Jeffrey Landsberg | Managing Director, Commodore Research & Consultancy
About Commodore Research & Consultancy
Commodore Research & Consultancy is an independent New York City-based consultancy that focuses on the global demand, supply, and seaborne trade of industrial and agricultural commodities, with a particular focus on China. Commodore Research & Consultancy's analysts handle a wide variety of consulting requests and custom reports. Commodore Research & Consultancy also offers two standard report subscriptions (Dry Bulk Report Subscription and China Report Subscription).
Views expressed herein are personal views of the author and not that of COALspot.com. We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining, shipping, etc. To submit your articles please click here
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Friday, 30 August 13
US COAL PRODUCTION FELL 0.48 PERCENT WEEK ON WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United states the world’s second largest coal producer produced totaled approximately 20.70 million short tons (mmst) of ...
Thursday, 29 August 13
HANDY: THE PACIFIC MARKET STARTED HEALTHY THIS WEEK - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The Pacific market started healthy this week. We have seen many bauxite, iron ore and few coal fixtures. Ships passing Singapore were able to ...
Thursday, 29 August 13
NO RATING IMPACT ON INDONESIAN ENERGY COMPANIES FROM RUPIAH DEPRECIATION - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings says the credit profiles of rated Indonesian energy and utilities companies, including thermal coal producers, will largely remain una ...
Wednesday, 28 August 13
THE BDI HAS MOVED TO LEVELS CONSIDERABLY STRONGER THAN THE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR - INTERMODAL
By George Bassakos
SnP Broker - Intermodal
We have already reached the end of August and whilst students are preparing themselves for another sc ...
Tuesday, 27 August 13
AUSTRALIA NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORTS JUMPED 15.59 PERCENT ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port up 15.59 per cent week on week to 2.76 million mt for ...
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- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
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- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
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- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
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- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
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- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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- The Treasury - Australian Government
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
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- Minerals Council of Australia
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
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- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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- CNBM International Corporation - China
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
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