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Thursday, 12 September 13
CAPESIZE MARKET WILL BECOME EVEN TIGHTER - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
COALspot.com : While it is no secret that current capesize availability has become tight and has caused capesize rates to surge, availability is set to become even tighter in the near future once Drummond coal cargoes return to the market (when the strike is resolved) and also due to the very large amount of Brazilian iron ore cargoes that have continued to surface. So far this week, 10 capesize vessels have been chartered to haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes. This is a very large amount, and already exceeds the robust 9 capesize vessels that were chartered to haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes during all of last week.
The last time that 10 or more capesize vessels were chartered to haul iron ore cargoes in a single week was the Week Ending November 16, 2012. Chinese demand for imported iron ore is currently very strong, which is helping capesize rates to surge. However, the capesize market will again benefit from the current level of activity as spot capesize availability will find itself even tighter in the near future. It is extremely encouraging for the capesize market that so many capesize vessels have recently been chartered for long-haul Brazil to China iron ore exports. In addition, Atlantic basin spot capesize availability will become even more tight whenever the Drummond coal strike officially comes to an end.
For the capesize market, near term prospects remain encouraging. There will be fluctuations whenever there are brief dips in Chinese demand, but overall we believe in the weeks and months to come there will be days when average daily capesize rates easily increase by over $3,000 in a single day. That’s the beauty of dry bulk shipping. Demand for vessels is quite inelastic and not very responsive to changes in prices. When a charterer needs a vessel, he (she) needs a vessel. And when spot vessel availability is tight, an environment is created where freight rates are prone to large increases. With some many capesize vessels recently being chartered to haul long-haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes -- and with an increase in Drummond coal cargoes being poised to re-emerge in the market at some point like in the near future -- the already tight capesize market will become even tighter.
By: Jeffrey Landsberg | Managing Director, Commodore Research & Consultancy
About Commodore Research & Consultancy
Commodore Research & Consultancy is an independent New York City-based consultancy that focuses on the global demand, supply, and seaborne trade of industrial and agricultural commodities, with a particular focus on China. Commodore Research & Consultancy's analysts handle a wide variety of consulting requests and custom reports. Commodore Research & Consultancy also offers two standard report subscriptions (Dry Bulk Report Subscription and China Report Subscription).
Views expressed herein are personal views of the author and not that of COALspot.com. We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining, shipping, etc. To submit your articles please click here
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Friday, 06 September 13
DRY BULK MARKET REACHES NEW YEAR-HIGHS ON THE BACK OF INCREASED CAPESIZE DEMAND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has been on the rise once again, but this time around any new increase of freight rates translates into new year-highs, thus bri ...
Friday, 06 September 13
US PRODUCED APPROXIMATELY 90.80 MMST OF COAL IN AUGUST
COALspot.com – United states the world’s second largest coal producer produced totaled approximately 20.90 million short tons (mmst) of ...
Thursday, 05 September 13
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORTS UP BY 6.72 PERCENT IN JULY
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world's largest multi grade coal exporter shipped 35.268* million tons of coal in July 2013. Indonesian coal exp ...
Thursday, 05 September 13
HANDY: NICKEL ORE WAS PUSHING THE FAR EAST MARKET - FEARNLEYS
Handy
Nickel Ore was pushing the Feast market, several ships were fixed from low teens to $14k. Indo/India was still supported by bauxite, while th ...
Thursday, 05 September 13
DRY BULK MARKET ON A HIGH ROLL, MAINLY THANKS TO CAPESIZE APPETITE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Capesize owners have been rejoycing on the back of renewed optimism for the further rise in the dry bulk market's freight rates, especially when on ...
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- VISA Power Limited - India
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
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- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
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- Deloitte Consulting - India
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- White Energy Company Limited
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The University of Queensland
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- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
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- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
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- Australian Coal Association
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
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- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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- Planning Commission, India
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
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