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Thursday, 12 September 13
CAPESIZE MARKET WILL BECOME EVEN TIGHTER - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
COALspot.com : While it is no secret that current capesize availability has become tight and has caused capesize rates to surge, availability is set to become even tighter in the near future once Drummond coal cargoes return to the market (when the strike is resolved) and also due to the very large amount of Brazilian iron ore cargoes that have continued to surface. So far this week, 10 capesize vessels have been chartered to haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes. This is a very large amount, and already exceeds the robust 9 capesize vessels that were chartered to haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes during all of last week.
The last time that 10 or more capesize vessels were chartered to haul iron ore cargoes in a single week was the Week Ending November 16, 2012. Chinese demand for imported iron ore is currently very strong, which is helping capesize rates to surge. However, the capesize market will again benefit from the current level of activity as spot capesize availability will find itself even tighter in the near future. It is extremely encouraging for the capesize market that so many capesize vessels have recently been chartered for long-haul Brazil to China iron ore exports. In addition, Atlantic basin spot capesize availability will become even more tight whenever the Drummond coal strike officially comes to an end.
For the capesize market, near term prospects remain encouraging. There will be fluctuations whenever there are brief dips in Chinese demand, but overall we believe in the weeks and months to come there will be days when average daily capesize rates easily increase by over $3,000 in a single day. That’s the beauty of dry bulk shipping. Demand for vessels is quite inelastic and not very responsive to changes in prices. When a charterer needs a vessel, he (she) needs a vessel. And when spot vessel availability is tight, an environment is created where freight rates are prone to large increases. With some many capesize vessels recently being chartered to haul long-haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes -- and with an increase in Drummond coal cargoes being poised to re-emerge in the market at some point like in the near future -- the already tight capesize market will become even tighter.
By: Jeffrey Landsberg | Managing Director, Commodore Research & Consultancy
About Commodore Research & Consultancy
Commodore Research & Consultancy is an independent New York City-based consultancy that focuses on the global demand, supply, and seaborne trade of industrial and agricultural commodities, with a particular focus on China. Commodore Research & Consultancy's analysts handle a wide variety of consulting requests and custom reports. Commodore Research & Consultancy also offers two standard report subscriptions (Dry Bulk Report Subscription and China Report Subscription).
Views expressed herein are personal views of the author and not that of COALspot.com. We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining, shipping, etc. To submit your articles please click here
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Friday, 04 October 13
US COAL PRODUCTION UP 2.1% WEEK ON WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer produced approximately 19.70 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 03 October 13
INDONESIA AUGUST COAL EXPORTS FALL 12.90 % FROM JULY TO 30.71 MIL MT
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the 15th largest economy in world, 4th largest coal producer in world and world's largest multi grade coal exporter ...
Thursday, 03 October 13
TOP FOUR U.S. COAL COMPANIES SUPPLIED MORE THAN HALF OF U.S. COAL PRODUCTION IN 2011 - EIA
In the past two years, more than half of U.S. coal production was attributable to the top four coal producers, the result of changes in regional pro ...
Thursday, 03 October 13
HANDY: PERIOD MARKET STAND IN GOOD POSITION - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
Nickel ore and Bauxite was active last week but slowed down now due to Chinese holidays. Ships opened in North China fixed at US$ 11-13k leve ...
Wednesday, 02 October 13
DRY BULK MARKET IS STILL MAINTAINING ITS UPWARD DIRECTION
Chartering (Wet: Stable- / Dry: Firm+)
Despite the fact that rates for Capes didn't continue their crazy ride this past week, the Dry Bulk market ...
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Coal Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
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