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Thursday, 12 September 13
OVER THE WORST? WE MIGHT FIND OUT THIS WEEK - BIMCO
The shipping market has a spring in its step, even as summer draws to a close. There is it seems, confidence that finally, we are emerging into the light and the beginnings of a sustained recovery. In this sense, London International Shipping Week, which will be in full swing by the time this piece is published, will be a useful thermometer with which to take the patient’s temperature.
We might not get a full appraisal and certainly the industry will need to be kept under observation, but there should be plenty of discussion of whether the worst is over and how quickly earnings and operations can get back to normal.
As a participant this week I shall certainly be looking for signs of returning confidence and full recovery but Jonah that I am, I’m not completely convinced we are out of the woods yet.
The problem that shipping has at the moment is equating activity with achievement. If we all just look busy, the feeling goes, we can work our way out of this. And just when you’re least expecting it, you’ll pop your head up and everything will be rosy again. This scenario is very unlikely to take place, at least in the short term.
For one thing, shipyard capacity is still far, far, too high and the very short memories of those who cashed in at the flood are still strong enough to have them believe that there is money to be made by hanging tight and waiting for better times. In one sense this might be true, if some of the ships lashed together as the yard was being built around them really are as short-lived as some people predict.
It would be a good thing if the global fleet was renewed and its average age reduced so significantly that one source of casualty risk is reduced, or even removed. Unfortunately, recent casualties tend to suggest that it is not as simple as that.
Singling out the shipyards seems a little unfair, after all it is the owners that keep on coming back for more. But the fact that some are prepared to continue to cut prices in order to attract business undermines the entire industry and creates the worst possible two-tier market.
Owners are hardly in the best of health either, an observation based on the eagerness with which they are flocking to new sources of finance – now that the banks have decided they will mostly pass – and their willingness to order against analysis of economic recovery which is far from proven.
The change in complexion of the Chinese economy, even given that country’s extraordinary ability to manage its movements up and down is in stark contrast to the rout being effected on the Indian currency (and others) as a result merely of expectations that the US Fed will taper its QE programme. Micro-economic conditions elsewhere remain fragile to say the least. To take one example, London property prices (and hotel room rates) are high but the country’s recovery seems predicated on very doubtful fundamentals.
Analysts have forecast the end of the commodities boom since the start of the year if not longer and the reversal of fortune in Australia’s economy is testament to that. It seems self-evident that an extractive industry is unsustainable in the very long term but when the demand profile changes, the supply side has to adjust. Look at the tanker market and shale gas for further evidence of that.
The major shipping markets remain volatile and treacherous, even despite the summer’s dry bulk upturn and some semblance of order returning to tanker and containership markets. In the first of these, simply look how far out the forward curve has pushed a recovery – with Cal14 Cape levels below spot values last week.
At the same time costs, primarily as a result of regulation and the cost of quality labour continue to remain high. But the situation here is if anything even more confused. Owners have to budget and plan for some regulations that continue to move away from them and others that seem set in stone, despite concerns that they will be difficult to comply with and will put further pressure on the price of operations.
At the same time, owners are engrossed in hot pursuit of energy efficiency initiatives, many of which sound promising but which are in some cases lacking in empirical evidence as to their efficacy.
Elsewhere, security concerns a remain, with new threats emerging, in Libya, Suez and in the eastern Mediterranean to add to those already well known off east and west Africa. These will hopefully be temporary effects – though ironically some degree of disruption can be good for earnings – but no one can image that a long term closure of the Suez Canal for example is in the industry’s best interest.
New frontiers continue to be explored, with the first Chinese transit of the Northern Sea Route recently completed. Even the secretary general of the IMO has made the journey, suggesting that shipping is preparing for this to become part of the business as usual scenario before long.
And yet doesn’t it also seem likely that during his voyage, Mr Sekimizu will have come to the inescapable conclusion that melting summer ice on the NSR should probably go in the ‘cons’ column when weighing the effect in the context of global warming?
Perhaps he will have returned doubly convinced that the industry must tackle the carbon dioxide issue and perhaps more troublingly, the carbon black issue, before too long.
Still, take a look at this week’s LISW programme and it seems inconceivable that any of these pressing issues will be overlooked. With NGO, governmental and industry representatives from across the board meeting, greeting and generally doing their thing, this is actually a very strong opportunity to build a platform for the next year and beyond.
And in case one was in any doubt that it was a shipping industry affair, there’s even a black tie dinner, where the industry can toast its successes and look to the future, confident it has a handle on all the big issues and solid strategies to cope with them.
Source: BIMCO / Hellenic Shipping News
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Sunday, 01 December 13
PANAMAX RATES HAVE REBOUNDED - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com: The freight market was quite firm last week with all the indices increased. Cape Index was gained highest this week which supports inc ...
Saturday, 30 November 13
NTPC STARTED IMPORTING COAL THROUGH NW1 FOR ITS FARAKKA POWER PLANT
COALspot.com: In a pioneering and path breaking operation, the very first consignment of about 69,060 metric tons of imported coal bought by MV HUAY ...
Friday, 29 November 13
DRY BULK MARKET BACK ON HIGHER GROUND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market is strengthening as a result of higher demand for Capesize vessels. The BDI (Baltic Dry Index) was up by 146 points yesterday, e ...
Wednesday, 27 November 13
DRY SEGMENTS EXCEPTION OF PANAMAXES, REMAINED OVERALL STABLE - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com : The Dry Bulk market closed off the week in the red, albeit the decrease noted was of short scale. With the exception of Panamaxes, th ...
Wednesday, 27 November 13
US WHEAT IMPORTS TO BRAZIL, REACHED A 35 - YEAR HIGH - EVA TZIMA
COALspot.com: As I am going through a number of dry market fixtures reported since the beginning of October, my eyes instinctively stop where they d ...
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- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
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