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Sunday, 24 March 13
DRY BULK MARKET PROSPECTS OFFER ROOM FOR RESTRAINED OPTIMISM SAYS SHIP OWNER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In its announcement regarding its annual performance, ship owner Frontline offered some useful insight on the future prospects of both the dry bulk and tanker market segments. In the dry bulk market, there's room for optimism as a result of an expected sharp decline of newbuilding deliveries over the next two years. "With the same delivery ratio we have experienced over the last three years approximately 60 million dwt should be delivered this year, while the order book for 2014 is 25 million dwt for the entire dry bulk sector" Frontline said.
According to the company's announcement, dry bulk transportation increased by around seven percent in 2012, however, due to the high number of new vessels entering the market, fleet utilization decreased. Given a net fleet growth of approximately 11 percent, the estimated utilization of the dry bulk fleet was on average 83 percent in 2012. Consequently spot earnings were low. The capesize and panamax segments both earned on average approximately $7,650 per day according to The Baltic Exchange. Around 220 capesizes and 375 panamaxes were delivered in 2012, still this was 30 percent lower than the official order book at the beginning of the year. At the same time approximately 90 capesizes and 135 panamaxes were sold for scrap. For the dry bulk fleet as a whole 35 million dwt were scrapped against 95 million dwt of deliveries.
Moving on to the more positive prospects, Frontline noted that "the low spot market presently experienced and relatively high scrap prices should encourage more scrapping. Most forecasters are expecting scrapping to remain at similar levels as last year and consequently net fleet growth could be as low as five percent during 2013. The steel industry and energy coal for utilities are accounting for almost 70 percent of dry bulk transportation. For several years the importance of increased steel production and energy consumption in China and the increased dependence of this country for the dry bulk market have been well known. Also in 2012 iron ore and coal imports showed a remarkable growth. Iron ore increased by around eight percent while coal imports increased by almost 30 percent year on year. This was in spite of a much slower growth in steel and energy consumption (2 percent and 3.4 percent respectively)" said Frontline.
It added that "there are a few factors which make most analysts fairly optimistic for dry bulk demand growth going forward. Quality of Chinese domestic iron ore production is on a steady declining trend. Since 2007 China has invested roughly $85 billion in iron ore mining. Over the same period investments per effective ton iron ore produced has increased from $15 per ton in 2007 to $60 per ton in 2012. Adjusting for falling Fe content, effective iron ore production in 2012 is broadly at the same level as in 2007. Even in a modest steel growth scenario for China most forecasters believe in a continued strong growth in iron ore imports. According to Fearnleys the Capesize fleet (150-200' dwt) totaled 1022 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter of 2012, an increase of 3 vessels from the previous quarter. The order book counted 94 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter compared to 106 vessels the previous quarter, representing 9.2 percent of the Capesize fleet" the ship owner concluded.
In the crude tanker market, Frontline noted that "current market forward rates are approximately $12,000 per day in the first quarter of 2013. Bunkers at Fujairah averaged $615/mt in the fourth quarter of 2012 compared to $650/mt in the third quarter of 2012. Bunker prices varied between a low of $593/mt on November 5th and a high of $655/mt on October 1st. The International Energy Agency's ("IEA") February 2013 report stated an OPEC oil production, including Iraq, of 30.9 million barrels per day (mb/d) in Q4. This was a decrease of 0.5 mb/d compared to the third quarter of 2012, due to lower Saudi Arabian production in November and December. The IEA estimates that world oil demand averaged 91.0 mb/d in the fourth quarter of 2012, which is an increase of 0.8 mb/d compared to previous quarter and the IEA estimates that world oil demand averaged approximately 89.8 mb/d in 2012, representing an increase of 1.1 percent or 1.0 mb/d from 2011. 2013 demand is expected to be 90.7 mb/d.
The VLCC fleet totalled 622 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter of 2012, up from 617 vessels at the end of the previous quarter. 11 VLCCs were delivered during the quarter, six were removed. The order book counted 81 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter, down from 91 orders from the previous quarter. The current order book represents approximately 13 percent of the VLCC fleet. According to Fearnleys, the single hull fleet is 17 vessels, five less than last quarter.
The Suezmax fleet counts 468 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter, up from 462 vessels at the end of the previous quarter. 14 vessels were delivered during the quarter whilst eight were removed. The order book counted 72 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter, which represents 15 percent of the total fleet. According to Fearnley's, the single hull fleet has been reduced from nine to five vessels" it concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 26 March 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 2.39 MMT OF COAL W/E 25 MARCH 2013
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2.396 million tons of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 25 March 2013, N ...
Monday, 25 March 13
BUNKER FUELS ARE ABOUT TO GET CLEANER, BUT AT WHAT COST? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The cost of bunkers is nowadays the driving force behind most ship owners' major decisions, with regulations bound to change in many parts of the w ...
Sunday, 24 March 13
THE SUB-BIT INDONESIA'S COAL SWAPS FOR Q2 DELIVERY PRICE LOST 7.47 PERCENT PMT M-O-M
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q2’ 2013 delivery has lost 3.39 percent and CFR South China coal shipment 2.65 ...
Sunday, 24 March 13
FREIGHT MARKETS CONTINUED TO FIRM - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This freight market continued to remain firm in all segments except for cape index which softened slightly.
The BDI was up by 4.60 ...
Saturday, 23 March 13
WORLD COAL TRADE FIRST PASSES 1 BILLION TONS IN 2012 - VEREIN DER KOHLENIMPORTEURE E.V
Press Release: Hard coal imports to Germany on the previous year's level in spite of regenerative energies. Imports for power plants at an all-time ...
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- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
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