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Tuesday, 19 March 13
SHIP PRICES COULD BE CLOSING IN TO REACH THEIR BOTTOM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
One of the latest developments in shipping asset prices has been the reluctance from shipyards to further reduce their price expectations to higher loss areas, due to the fact that they are faced with greater construction costs, as a result of the closing of the price gap between China and Japan. In its latest analysis, Intermodal, looks at the issue of inflation and its effect of ship prices around the world.
According to Mr. George Dermatis, "inflation is fast becoming our new friend... Up almost 9% for the year so far, the more than century-old blue-chip index, Dow Jones, posted last week its first finish above the record closing high of 14,164.53 set on Oct. 9th 2007, which is just ahead of the global financial meltdown.It is an undeniable fact that this new peak is reached primarily due to the extensive monetary stimuli that the Fed has provided over the past 4 years".
He added that "in Japan, the sun seems to be rising once again after decades of standing as a warning sign of what can go wrong when government debt reaches to extremely high levels. Yet enough though Japan's Nikkei 225 index stands at less than a third of its record high since 1989, the stock market has made big strides forward, climbing 35% since mid-November".
Meanwhile, in Europe, stocks rallied to their highest level in 4½ years, as investors cheered stronger-than-expected euro-zone retail sales and keyed off gains in U.S. equities. Dermatis noted that "Europe is standing at the opposite side of inflation argument, with austerity measures governing the southern countries and an almost deflationary outlook for the year ahead. Amidst heavy reforms on governance, fiscal policy and taxation amongst the country-members, the EU has managed to increase its competiveness; however pressures for monetary easing are expected to intensify as the voiced concerns in the Eurozone amplify. Let's not forget that it is the only major economy that has not resorted to this solution post-2008...Could this change soon?" he asks.
Finally, "China’s minimum wage has tripled since 2000, creating extra pressure via fast rising labour costs within China. This fact should however be looked at with greater scrunity, as the ageing population of China means a dropping supply of youth labour in the country. Environmental awareness pressures and restrictions on pollution from factories create another bottleneck in production and raise production costs across the board for Chinese manufacturing. Furthermore, the RMB is going from strength to strength and while nominal appreciation has been slower than critics in Brussels and Washington might like, real appreciation (adjusting for the country's relatively faster inflation rate) has been rapid. The Chinese currency has appreciated considerably in nominal terms as well, recording a median of about 22% against 13 Asian currencies over the past five years, as such negatively impacting the attractiveness of the country's exports. In order to combat this and drive the country's competitiveness, the only solution is through automation and higher sophistication in production, which in turn requires substantial support from the government in the form of financial aid, subsidies and access to finance (especially for the latter this column has been a regular and strong advocate of financial easing in all forms of production as an added incentive for local and/or foreign investors). These measures would mean increasing the money supply and in turn having to battle inflation once more, hopefully in a more effective way than last year's attempt to keep real estate prices and infrastructure spending under control", Intermodal's analyst noted.
So, as the factor of inflation seems to be fast-becoming ''a lesser of two devils'' for most major economies, what are the potential effects on shipping? "Secondhand prices and NB cost have seriously dropped over the past 4½ years. Current fleet profile, outstanding deliveries, market demand/supply factors all maintain their importance of course and have generated a dim outlook for the market ahead, but we cannot ignore the fact that all asset prices are subject to inflationery pressures as well. As the price gap between Japan and China is narrowing down, shipyards suffer greatly from rising construction costs and seem heavily reluctant to drop their price expectations to higher loss areas. Could this provide the necessary pillar for a reaction in prices? Could we finally be close to an artificial bottom?" the report concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Sunday, 31 March 13
COAL FREIGHTS ARE IN FLAT TO WEAK TREND - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This freight market after several weeks of firming up seemed to lose steam and this week all the indices were down except for handy s ...
Friday, 29 March 13
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAPS: UP 0.55 % WOW; CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL CONTRACT: UP 0.23 % WOW
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q2’ 2013 delivery has gained 0.55 percent and CFR South China coal shipment&nbs ...
Thursday, 28 March 13
SHIP OWNERS KEEN ON ACQUIRING SECOND HAND TONNAGE, AS WELL AS NEW BUILDINGS IN CONVENTIONAL SEGMENTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The recent rally of the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), coupled with renewed optimism, at least in some parts of the wet market, have prompted many ship own ...
Wednesday, 27 March 13
PTBA HAS CONCLUDED US$ 16.14 BILLION WORTH OF COAL SALES AND PURCHASE AGREEMENT WITH PLN
COALspot.com - PT. Bukit Asam, a 32 years old Indonesian state owned coal miner has signed a coal sales and purchase agreement with PT PLN, (a state ...
Wednesday, 27 March 13
SHIPPING CONFIDENCE REACHES HIGHEST LEVEL FOR TWO YEARS - MOORE STEPHENS
Overall confidence levels in the shipping industry recovered to their highest level for two years in the three months ended February 2013, according ...
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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