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Tuesday, 19 March 13
SHIP PRICES COULD BE CLOSING IN TO REACH THEIR BOTTOM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
One of the latest developments in shipping asset prices has been the reluctance from shipyards to further reduce their price expectations to higher loss areas, due to the fact that they are faced with greater construction costs, as a result of the closing of the price gap between China and Japan. In its latest analysis, Intermodal, looks at the issue of inflation and its effect of ship prices around the world.
According to Mr. George Dermatis, "inflation is fast becoming our new friend... Up almost 9% for the year so far, the more than century-old blue-chip index, Dow Jones, posted last week its first finish above the record closing high of 14,164.53 set on Oct. 9th 2007, which is just ahead of the global financial meltdown.It is an undeniable fact that this new peak is reached primarily due to the extensive monetary stimuli that the Fed has provided over the past 4 years".
He added that "in Japan, the sun seems to be rising once again after decades of standing as a warning sign of what can go wrong when government debt reaches to extremely high levels. Yet enough though Japan's Nikkei 225 index stands at less than a third of its record high since 1989, the stock market has made big strides forward, climbing 35% since mid-November".
Meanwhile, in Europe, stocks rallied to their highest level in 4½ years, as investors cheered stronger-than-expected euro-zone retail sales and keyed off gains in U.S. equities. Dermatis noted that "Europe is standing at the opposite side of inflation argument, with austerity measures governing the southern countries and an almost deflationary outlook for the year ahead. Amidst heavy reforms on governance, fiscal policy and taxation amongst the country-members, the EU has managed to increase its competiveness; however pressures for monetary easing are expected to intensify as the voiced concerns in the Eurozone amplify. Let's not forget that it is the only major economy that has not resorted to this solution post-2008...Could this change soon?" he asks.
Finally, "China’s minimum wage has tripled since 2000, creating extra pressure via fast rising labour costs within China. This fact should however be looked at with greater scrunity, as the ageing population of China means a dropping supply of youth labour in the country. Environmental awareness pressures and restrictions on pollution from factories create another bottleneck in production and raise production costs across the board for Chinese manufacturing. Furthermore, the RMB is going from strength to strength and while nominal appreciation has been slower than critics in Brussels and Washington might like, real appreciation (adjusting for the country's relatively faster inflation rate) has been rapid. The Chinese currency has appreciated considerably in nominal terms as well, recording a median of about 22% against 13 Asian currencies over the past five years, as such negatively impacting the attractiveness of the country's exports. In order to combat this and drive the country's competitiveness, the only solution is through automation and higher sophistication in production, which in turn requires substantial support from the government in the form of financial aid, subsidies and access to finance (especially for the latter this column has been a regular and strong advocate of financial easing in all forms of production as an added incentive for local and/or foreign investors). These measures would mean increasing the money supply and in turn having to battle inflation once more, hopefully in a more effective way than last year's attempt to keep real estate prices and infrastructure spending under control", Intermodal's analyst noted.
So, as the factor of inflation seems to be fast-becoming ''a lesser of two devils'' for most major economies, what are the potential effects on shipping? "Secondhand prices and NB cost have seriously dropped over the past 4½ years. Current fleet profile, outstanding deliveries, market demand/supply factors all maintain their importance of course and have generated a dim outlook for the market ahead, but we cannot ignore the fact that all asset prices are subject to inflationery pressures as well. As the price gap between Japan and China is narrowing down, shipyards suffer greatly from rising construction costs and seem heavily reluctant to drop their price expectations to higher loss areas. Could this provide the necessary pillar for a reaction in prices? Could we finally be close to an artificial bottom?" the report concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 11 April 13
TNEB HAS OPENED 4.2 MILLION TONS IMPORTED COAL TENDER
COALspot.com - TANGEDCO, the state run utility TANGEDCO (formerly known as TNEB), Tamil Nadu state owned electricity company has opened bids to purc ...
Wednesday, 10 April 13
US COAL CONSUMPTION TO INCREASE FROM 889 MMST IN 2012 TO 948 MMST IN 2013 AND 957 MMST IN 2014 - EIA
Based on estimates for the first quarter of 2013, American coal production has continued to decline.
Total production is down 9.9 million short t ...
Wednesday, 10 April 13
DRY BULK FREIGHT RATES SEEN MOSTLY STABLE IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS WORLDWIDE
In its latest report, BIMCO forecast that for the coming six weeks, Capesize time charter average rates will remain subdued around $4,500-8,500 per ...
Monday, 08 April 13
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAPS: UPWARD TREND
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q2’ 2013 delivery has gained 2.71 percent and CFR South China coal shipment&nbs ...
Sunday, 07 April 13
CHARTER RATES ARE UNDER PRESSURE DUE TO DECLINING DEMAND - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market continued to fall further with all the indices down.
The BDI was down by 5.38 pct closing at 861 points and the ...
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- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The University of Queensland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Planning Commission, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
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