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Thursday, 27 December 12
A LOOK AT WORLD TRADE PATTERNS DURING 2013 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
While China's leaders are likely to stick with the 2012 economic growth rate of 7.5% when they chart a course for 2013 - its weakest pace since 1999 - with Europe still in recession and U.S' demand sluggish, world trade faces considerable headwinds for 2013. According to Intermodal's Tasos Papadopoulos, "Southeast Asia has lately become an engine of global economic growth; since the Asian crisis of the mid 90’s the region "has been in the gym and working hard" and is showing much more resilience now".
The shipbroker's analyst noted that 'countries such as Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, the Philippines, and Myanmar have come out of a prolonged economic slump and are now forecast for a sustained economic growth amid increasing number of middle-income earners. The Philippines, for example, which once earned the nickname the "sick man of Asia", announced earlier this month that its GDP rose by 7.1% in the July-September period which is pretty close to China's growth levels! In other words, the Chinese economy is slowing down, while SE Asian growth is still picking up.
Investors are shifting their money towards Southeast Asian markets where strong consumer spending is expected to boost domestic demand while the region’s deca-millionairs (those earning $10 million or more) already outnumber those in Europe and are expected to exceed those in the United States within the next decade. Over the past three months, stocks in the Philippines rose 8% and in Indonesia climbed 6%. According to Dai-chi Life Research Institute Inc., $1.5-2bn was invested in the stock exchanges of Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines between late 2011 and October this year. Indonesia, which has a population of 240m - 4th most populated country in the world - offers the biggest domestic market in SE Asia and an increasing predictions that she will be ranked as the 4th largest economy by 2050" he said.
Papadopoulos added that "at this point, it is worth noting that Indonesians’ have been very active in the SnP market in 2012 acquiring modern tonnage, with notable mention going towards the ex “Nanos” (50,296dwt-blt 02) at low $ 14m, ex “Energy Angel” (77,697dwt-blt 98) at $ 12,6m or more recently the reported sale of “Pegasus Island” (77,830dwt-blt 02) at low $ 12m" he said.
According to the report, "China and Japan are also eyeing S. Eastern markets as a destination for their products and expect the region to develop further in the future. Chinese steelmakers, Baosteel Group Corp and Wuhan Iron and Steel (Group) Corp have separately invested into building steel plants in South China, while planning to export a total of 10m tons per year of steel products to the SE Asian region. JFE Steel Corp of Japan, together with Taiwanese company E-United Group, is also examining a plan to build a 3.5m ton integrated steel works in Vietnam. Formosa Plastics Group, Taiwan's top petrochemical company, is investing about $10bn to construct its first steel plant for domestic and overseas supply. The project includes the development of a deep water port able to accommodate a 300k dwt dry bulker".
Intermodal's report concluded by nothing that "we have to consider that the business environment in all these countries is of high risk. Political stability is not guaranteed and past experience should become a lesson; in Thailand, after the royal succession takes place, there is a high risk that social stability may not to be ensured, in Myanmar, the transition towards democracy - after almost 50 years of military rule - is not an easy task at all while in Indonesia a bureaucrat who spearheaded the export restrictions on natural resources might be the winner of the 2014 presidential elections...With all this in mind one might wonder what the future may have in stall".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Sunday, 06 January 13
FREIGHT MARKET REMAINED FAIRLY STEADY - VISTAAR
WISH YOU ALL HAPPY NEW YEAR
COALspot.com - The freight market remained fairly steady in spite of Christmas / New Year Holidays. The BDI was almos ...
Saturday, 05 January 13
THE SHIPPING MARKET IN 2012 AND LOOKING FORWARD - BIMCO
Global Economy: Things will go up from here
The global economy continues to grow, albeit at a slower pace than previous years. The slower economic ...
Friday, 04 January 13
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR DIRECTION IN FIRST TRADING DAYS OF THE NEW YEAR - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market is actively looking for its footing at the start of the New Year, as charters have been scarce, as is usually the case during th ...
Thursday, 03 January 13
INDONESIAN SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL SWAPS CLOSED US$ 6.86 HIGHER FOR 2014 DELIVERY
COALspot.com - Swaps prices were changed positively for thermal coal for loading in the first quarter from Indonesia, according to SGX AsiaClear OTC ...
Thursday, 03 January 13
SUPRMAX FREIGHT RATE FROM RED SEA / INDIA IS AROUND MID TEENS - FEARNLEYS
Fearnleys in its weekly report said that, Indian market was very quiet in respect of export of iron ore. For Indo-India trip Supra rate was hovering ...
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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