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Thursday, 27 December 12
A LOOK AT WORLD TRADE PATTERNS DURING 2013 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
 While China's leaders are likely to stick with the 2012 economic growth rate of 7.5% when they chart a course for 2013 - its weakest pace since 1999 - with Europe still in recession and U.S' demand sluggish, world trade faces considerable headwinds for 2013. According to Intermodal's Tasos Papadopoulos, "Southeast Asia has lately become an engine of global economic growth; since the Asian crisis of the mid 90’s the region "has been in the gym and working hard" and is showing much more resilience now".
The shipbroker's analyst noted that 'countries such as Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, the Philippines, and Myanmar have come out of a prolonged economic slump and are now forecast for a sustained economic growth amid increasing number of middle-income earners. The Philippines, for example, which once earned the nickname the "sick man of Asia", announced earlier this month that its GDP rose by 7.1% in the July-September period which is pretty close to China's growth levels! In other words, the Chinese economy is slowing down, while SE Asian growth is still picking up.
Investors are shifting their money towards Southeast Asian markets where strong consumer spending is expected to boost domestic demand while the region’s deca-millionairs (those earning $10 million or more) already outnumber those in Europe and are expected to exceed those in the United States within the next decade. Over the past three months, stocks in the Philippines rose 8% and in Indonesia climbed 6%. According to Dai-chi Life Research Institute Inc., $1.5-2bn was invested in the stock exchanges of Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines between late 2011 and October this year. Indonesia, which has a population of 240m - 4th most populated country in the world - offers the biggest domestic market in SE Asia and an increasing predictions that she will be ranked as the 4th largest economy by 2050" he said.
Papadopoulos added that "at this point, it is worth noting that Indonesians’ have been very active in the SnP market in 2012 acquiring modern tonnage, with notable mention going towards the ex “Nanos” (50,296dwt-blt 02) at low $ 14m, ex “Energy Angel” (77,697dwt-blt 98) at $ 12,6m or more recently the reported sale of “Pegasus Island” (77,830dwt-blt 02) at low $ 12m" he said.
According to the report, "China and Japan are also eyeing S. Eastern markets as a destination for their products and expect the region to develop further in the future. Chinese steelmakers, Baosteel Group Corp and Wuhan Iron and Steel (Group) Corp have separately invested into building steel plants in South China, while planning to export a total of 10m tons per year of steel products to the SE Asian region. JFE Steel Corp of Japan, together with Taiwanese company E-United Group, is also examining a plan to build a 3.5m ton integrated steel works in Vietnam. Formosa Plastics Group, Taiwan's top petrochemical company, is investing about $10bn to construct its first steel plant for domestic and overseas supply. The project includes the development of a deep water port able to accommodate a 300k dwt dry bulker".
Intermodal's report concluded by nothing that "we have to consider that the business environment in all these countries is of high risk. Political stability is not guaranteed and past experience should become a lesson; in Thailand, after the royal succession takes place, there is a high risk that social stability may not to be ensured, in Myanmar, the transition towards democracy - after almost 50 years of military rule - is not an easy task at all while in Indonesia a bureaucrat who spearheaded the export restrictions on natural resources might be the winner of the 2014 presidential elections...With all this in mind one might wonder what the future may have in stall".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Sunday, 13 January 13
THE FREIGHT MARKET: FAIRLY STEADY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market was fairly steady with all the indices up with maximum gain in the Panamax segment. The BDI was up by 7.65 pct clo ...
Saturday, 12 January 13
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS: WEAK
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q1’ 2013 delivery has lost 0.32 percent WoW but CFR South China coal ship ...
Saturday, 12 January 13
HIGHER COAL PRICES: SEASONAL EFFECT
COALspot.com : Bahana Securities, one of the leading securities in Indonesia, said in its latest coal outlook that, on US and China&rsquo ...
Friday, 11 January 13
HBA HAS JUMPED BY US$ 5.80 PMT IN JANUARY 2013
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government has declared bench mark price for coal higher than December price. The monthly coal reference price f ...
Thursday, 10 January 13
PANAMAX : SOME GLIMMERS OF HOPE MID WEEK - FEARNLEYS
According to Fearnley’s weekly report, the Atlantic handy market is stable with rates around USD 11k for Cont-Feast and USD 17k bss USG/Feast. ...
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- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Planning Commission, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
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