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Monday, 24 December 12
BUNKER PRICES TO CONTINUE RISING, ALBEIT IN A SLOWER MODE, DURING THE NEXT FEW YEARS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEW
In a recent report, US-based consulting firm Mcquilling Services attempted to forecast the course of bunker prices during the next few years, as this factor is among the most important ones when it comes to ship owning operating costs. According to the company's projection, 2013 average bunker prices are expected to reach $690 per ton, while by 2017, bunker costs are forecast to average $760 per ton. During 2012, the basket of bunker prices reached an all-time high of almost $750 per ton in early March. "This was influenced by an upward spike in crude oil prices combined with robust demand for power generation from various countries. Although prices have since subsided, bunker prices are anticipated to rise in the coming years. This increase will be in line with higher crude oil prices, but also tighter supplies due to secondary capacity additions and changes to the international crude slate. Tanker earnings will continue to be pressured, which will encourage owners to explore methods to boost fuel efficiency" Mcquilling Services said.
It continued by explaining its methodology noting that "in our annual Tanker Market Outlook, McQuilling Services provides a bunker price forecast using the correlation between Dated Brent and the average bunker price. Dated Brent provides a more accurate gauge of international crude oil prices as it is not subject to the local logistical issues that affect the US benchmark WTI and it is considered the global oil price benchmark. In previous editions of the Tanker Market Outlook, we noted the correlation between Dated Brent and international bunker prices has shifted upwards as tighter specifications and refinery upgrades are reducing supplies. Between 1994 and 2007, the slope remained constant but started to steepen in 2008. This trend has continued into this year’s forecasting cycle.
The report added that "in our 2012 Tanker Market Outlook, we forecast that Dated Brent would average US $105 per barrel and bunker prices US $650 per ton. Year-to-date Dated Brent has been roughly US $111 per barrel or 3% above our forecast while bunkers averaged US $675 per ton, about 4% higher than projected. Going forward we see limited upward support for international crude oil prices as the global economy is expected to remain under pressure while supplies should remain relatively ample.
Global crude production should remain supported by the expectation that output in North America will increase throughout the forecast period. Saudi Arabia will continue to be the most influential swing supplier of OPEC nations while Russian production should also continue to hover around 10 million b/d. Political risks that could result in reduced production, especially in the Middle East and North Africa will remain present. Demand growth from non-OECD economies will stay healthy throughout the forecast period which will help absorb displaced barrels, in particular from the Caribbean, as a result of rising North American crude oil production. This will support ton-mile demand in particular for the larger tanker classes" it said.
Mcquilling Serviced concluded its argument by saying that "this year’s medium term forecast anticipates that bunker prices will rise slowly over the next three years. This range bound activity will be influenced by a rising share of natural gas consumption in both industrialized and developing nations that will provide some balance to market fundamentals. The rise in the latter part of the forecast period is the result of tighter bunker fuel specifications combined with the growth in sophistication of the global downstream industry".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Sunday, 25 November 12
INDONESIA TO INDIA SUPRAMAX FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE FIRM - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market was buoyant this week with all sectors up except for the Cape size index. The BDI was up by 5.21 pct closing at 10 ...
Sunday, 25 November 12
INDONESIAN SUB BITUMINOUS COAL SWAP CONTRACTS SLIDE
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for February 2013 delivery lost 0.76percent WoW but gained 0.16 percent DoD on Friday ...
Saturday, 24 November 12
DELTA DUNIA MAKMUR PRODUCES 3.2 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN OCTOBER
COALspot.com - PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk., has removed 31.1 million bcm* (-4.0% YoY) of Overburden in October 2012 totaled while coal production was ...
Friday, 23 November 12
CHOOSING THE RIGHT TIME TO INVEST IN NEW VESSELS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Shipping is all about timing, a process often rising to the height of artform, as ship owners are having to pick the exact moment of selling most of ...
Thursday, 22 November 12
HANDY: INDO-INDIA, LARGE ECO SUPRA NOW FIXED AT USD 12500 - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The north Continent is seeing plenty of tonnages but lack of cargoes. TA business are around 11k and fronthaul is around 17k.Tonnages has tig ...
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Showing 4486 to 4490 news of total 6871 |
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- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Planning Commission, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
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