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Friday, 23 November 12
CHOOSING THE RIGHT TIME TO INVEST IN NEW VESSELS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Shipping is all about timing, a process often rising to the height of artform, as ship owners are having to pick the exact moment of selling most of their fleet and investing a new one, i.e. selling high and buying low. As the current market conditions favor the buying part of the market, with asset values on a downward path during the past few years, it's not easy to pick the right time, since next week a vessel with similar specifications to the one purchased, may have lost an additonal few thousand dollars off its value and in shipping even those matter.
As a result, it is very difficult to predict with full accuracy the proper timing, not to mention estimate where vessel values will have moved during the next couple of months. According to the latest weekly report from Piraeus-based Intermodal, despite the fact that most market pundits continually voice that second-hand and newbuilding prices have the potential to fall by as much as 20-30% in the next few months, there are always "Black Swan" events which catch everyone by surprise.
In his analysis, Intermodal's Panos Makrinos notes that "taking the case however that asset prices may drop further, it makes fair reason for any prospective buyer who currently has serious interest in buying new vessels, to wait for some time before taking any decisive action. All that being said, such a decision may well be within minimal risk of an upward swing in asset prices but always entailing some".
He added that "according to current market anticipation, the right time to buy a second-hand vessel or a newbuilding will be some point in the first half of 2013. The expectation is that prices will more accurately reflect the current low freight levels experienced as well as the lack of serious buying interest. The question that arises here is whether this common thinking is indeed reasonable and able in itself to persuade all these prospective Buyers to wait despite the discounted prices offered. In essence, their choice to wait means that they would forgo any potential gains that could be succeeded from acquiring modern second hand or newbuilding vessels at current levels. The question is to what extent should owners be chasing the market bottom, especially in the case were they are planning to make more than one vessel acquisition" he noted.
Makrinos also mentions that "in the case of new orders we can see a further case for owners to take on this decisive action, since we all appreciate that what both the dry and wet sectors need right now is ever stronger demolition activity in order to counterbalance all the new deliveries that we have seen in 2012 so far. As mentioned in our weekly report at the end of last month, in the dry sector alone we have seen more than 1,000 dry bulk carriers delivered since the start of the year with over 85 million tons of deadweight capacity and there is still time to go before the end of the year. This may well have been offset by the record number of demolitions seen, however we it has not been all smooth sailing in the scrap market. Demo prices have recently been under pressure and with a lack of clear market direction it looks as though they could possible soften further by the end of the year if we continue to see the current strong supply of demo tonnage in combination with weak steel demand.
What one might voice, is whether all this should truly influence one’s decision for further ordering. A new vessel is always treated better amongst charterers than an old one, while at the same time you would not expect to miss out on any “Party” while waiting for delivery. The argument as to whether one should order a new building or buy a secondhand unit will continue on for some time, however what is imperative and would be seen as an encouraging sign, is a more active stance towards demolition, especially while the current scrap steel prices still hold their ground. After all no-one knows what the New Year may have in stall for the shipping industry and it may well be better to be with cash at hand" the analyst concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 12 November 12
DRILLING COMPLETED AT THE MOORLANDS DEPOSIT, WEST BOWEN PROJECT
Press Release - Cuesta Coal Limited (ASX: CQC) (“Cuesta”) is pleased to announce it has completed its exploration activities at the Moor ...
Monday, 12 November 12
BARGE-LOAD OF 5K TONNES OF COAL FROM THE ADK JOINT VENTURE SHIPPED LAST WEEK
COALspot.com - Orpheus Energy (ASX:OEG) has announced that, it has successfully shipped a 5,000 tonne of ADK thermal coal to an Indonesian trading g ...
Sunday, 11 November 12
AN OPTIMISTIC WEEK FOR INDONESIAN SUB-BIT COAL
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for January 2013 delivery gains 2.08 percent WoW and 1.28 percent DoD on Friday, 9 November ...
Sunday, 11 November 12
THE IRON ORE AND COAL PRICES MOVEMENTS REMAINS LOW - VISTAAR
COALspot.com The market remained soft with all the sectors soft.
The BDI and was down by 4.67 pct closing at 940 points, on Friday 9 Novemb ...
Friday, 09 November 12
SHIP OWNERS TURN TO SECOND HAND VESSELS, WHICH COME AT ATTRACTIVE PRICES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The attractiveness of modern second hand vessels, which are often priced aggressively can't be ignored by cash-rich ship owners, who are taking adv ...
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- MS Steel International - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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