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Tuesday, 19 June 12
SMALLER DRY BULK CARRIERS LIFT UP MARKET, PANAMAXES SET TO FALL SAYS ANALYST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Another rise for the dry bulk market was evident yesterday, as the industry’s benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) was up for a ninth straight session to 938 points, rising by 14 points. The rise was once again triggered by the smaller ship types, with the Panamax market rising by 16 points, or 1.5% to 1,081 points, with average daily earnings rising to $8,592. By contrast, the Capesize market was once again falling, with the relative index falling by 10 points to 1,138 points, as a result of tumbling iron ore demand. As a result average daily earnings dropping at just $3,377, a multi-year low.
In a relative note, analyst Commodore Research predicted a new fall of the market, which will most likely impact Panamaxes the most. Commodore mentioned that “it might be hard for some to believe, but at the start of the year capesize rates were averaging $23,991/day. Capesize rates quickly came under intense vessel supply-related pressure, however, and have remained below $10,000/day since January 12th. More recently, rates have come under additional pressure due to the ongoing lull in Chinese iron ore demand. While near-term prospects for capesize rates remain bleak - first and foremost due to the tremendous amount of capesize vessels that will remain available in the market - a strong case can be made that future prospects for panamax rates are considerably worse” said Commodore.
It concluded by mentioning that “for the second half of this year, the orderbook for panamax vessels stands at roughly 355 vessels, while the orderbook for capesize vessels stands at roughly 145 vessels. The 2013 panamax orderbook dwarfs the 2013 capesize orderbook as well. For 2013, the orderbook for panamax vessels stands at roughly 240 vessels, while the orderbook for capesize vessels stands at roughly 90 vessels. In 2013, the panamax market is poised to become the most oversupplied of all of the dry bulk vessel classes. The 595 panamax vessels expected to be delivered by the end of 2013 represent a growth of approximately 28% on the current panamax fleet. The 235 capesize vessels expected to be delivered represent a growth of approximately 16% on the current capesize fleet. While the story for 2012 will likely remain the depressed capesize market, panamax rates are likely to feel great pain in 2013” said Commodore.
In an earlier note, BIMCO had noted that “the dry bulk market is under immense pressure, as the retreating weight of China as the driver of the market is extensively felt. At a time when supply growth simply breaks new mind-blowing delivery records, the demand situation is pitching in a bit too. Currently, there are reports of Chinese customers in the steel industry that are refusing to honour their contract as prices drop, and stock piles are fuller than normal at a time when steel mills take their foot off the throttle following a red-hot production period in recent months. Current fundamental demand/consumption is not strong enough to support such a high production level. As the world awaits the next anticipated Chinese stimulus package to lift demand, the dry bulk market is scouting for another saviour to get it through the day. Crude steel production in China surpassed 60 million tons a month in both March and April. The monthly average in 2011 was 57 million per month” said BIMCO.
It added that “the first five months average earnings of a Capesize bulker ended at USD 7,013 per day. This is down by 13% as compared to the same period last year that earned USD 8,060 per day. The time charter average has only been above USD 10,000 per day in the first 11 days of the year. The brief strengthening of freight rates in the midst of May unfortunately proved to be short-lived. As suggested two months ago, the downward overshooting of rates was corrected upwards with stronger rates during April and the first half of May, but as the optimism in the macroeconomic picture also began to fade, so did the freight market.
China imports more coal when the price gap between Chinese thermal coal (less a heat discount) and imported thermal coal is providing an arbitrage opportunity (including freight costs). When e.g. Australian or Indonesian coal prices become relatively cheaper, Chinese buyers are interested in importing more coal from Australia, which is good news for ship owners. In 2011 the price gap widened substantially, leading to hitherto unseen levels of thermal coal imports to China. If the price of Australian and Indonesian coal drops below the price of Chinese coal, as has been the case the last few months, we might see Chinese imports get back strongly when coal demand peaks in July. This could make 2012 imports surpass those record volumes of 2011” BIMCO concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Thursday, 12 July 12
SOUTHGOBI RESOURCES ANNOUNCES NOTICE OF INVESTMENT DISPUTE FILED AGAINST MONGOLIAN GOVERNMENT
Press Release - SouthGobi Resources Ltd. (TSX: SGQ, HK: 1878) (“SouthGobi”) announced today that SGQ Coal Investment Pte. Ltd., a wholly ...
Wednesday, 11 July 12
HBA DROPPED SHARPLY IN JULY
COALspot.com - Indonesian HBA fell to lowest level since September 2010 in July 2012. The monthly coal reference price for coal sales this mon ...
Wednesday, 11 July 12
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP LOST $ 1.26 PER TON
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit FOB Indonesia Coal decline for a second day yesterday, according to SGX AsiaClear OTC Coal Swaps. The prices for shipments to ...
Tuesday, 10 July 12
DRY BULK MARKET RECORDS MODEST GAINS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market inched a bit higher on Monday, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) ending the session up by 5 points to 1,162. Most markets were hig ...
Saturday, 07 July 12
INDONESIA-JAPAN RELATIONS TURN SOUR - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post, the one of the leading Indonesian English new papers reported that, Bilateral relations between Indonesia and Japan have recently ...
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
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