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Wednesday, 02 May 12
CHINA BLACKOUTS HIGHLIGHT PRICING POLICY WEAKNESS - FITCH
Fitch reported that, the likelihood of further electricity blackouts in China this summer underlines Fitch's view of the basic problem facing thermal electricity generators - that the tariff framework is not sustainable in the long term.
The problem centres on China's thermal or coal-fired plants, which in 2011 represented 72.5% of total electricity production of 4,692.8TWh, and are likely to remain the backbone of electricity generation for the foreseeable future. The problem is not with China's national electricity grid, which is well developed, but rather with the non-viability of the pricing mechanism for the coal-fired generators.
The Chinese thermal generators are unwilling to produce excess electricity in peak periods when their marginal generation costs are above the tariffs the government will allow them to charge the grid companies. Tariff adjustments have not been timely or sufficient despite the rising cost of coal, as the government has prioritised the management of inflation - thereby constraining profitability. The weak economics have also discouraged private-sector investment, while the state-linked thermal generators - Huaneng International ('BB+'/Stable), Datang International ('BB'/Stable), China Power International Development ('BB'/Stable), and Huadian International ('BB-'/Stable) - are now struggling with substantially weakened balance sheets.
Coal input prices for the thermal generators have increased dramatically over the past three years to end-2011, rising by an average of 16% pa. Meanwhile, the Chinese government has only allowed nationwide electricity tariffs to rise once in the last two years, by around 5% for non-residential customers in December 2011. Some tariff increases also occurred in selective provinces in April 2011, but the impact on generators' profitability was limited.
A 5% cap on annual coal price increases was introduced along with the December 2011 electricity tariff revision, but this applied only to contracted coal prices. These capped prices only represent around 30%-40% of the total needs of most thermal generators. Accordingly, large amounts of coal have to be bought on the spot market at substantially higher prices, making excess electricity production an uneconomic proposition. The substantial premium - typically 30% - on spot market prices against the capped contract coal price results in coal producers seeking ways to reduce their contracted sales in favour of spot sales, which is steadily eroding any benefit from the coal price caps.
A longer-term problem, and a potential cause of an eventual structural shortfall in generation capacity, is that limited profit - or losses - from thermal operations have since 2008 led to new capex in the industry being diverted away from thermal and into wind, hydro and vertical integration via coal mine acquisitions. A National Energy Administration (NEA) report dated 30 January 30 2012 confirmed that China's investment in thermal power assets fell again in 2011, by 26%, to CNY105.4bn. This trend, which cannot be reversed quickly due to the typical minimum two-year lead time to build new thermal capacity, is a serious concern given China's continued dependence on coal for its power generation.
The Chinese thermal generators are likely to face sustained weak operating cash flows and negative free cash generation under this heavily regulated environment, a situation which Fitch believes to be unsustainable in light of the continued growth in the Chinese economy. The agency believes that China is looking to introduce price reforms across the energy industries, but achieving a truly cost-reflective tariff regime is likely to take several more years, and will require a favourable inflationary climate. In the meantime, demand will continue to outstrip supply, even if - theoretically - the capacity exists within the generation system.
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Thursday, 26 April 12
TAIPOWER TO BUY 1.15 MILLION TONS OF 5000 GAR COAL
COALspot.com - Taiwan Power Company intends to procure 1.125million tons of sub-bituminous coal for Taipower thermal power plant through open tender ...
Thursday, 26 April 12
TAIPOWER TO BUY 375,000 MT OF 4800 GAR COAL
COALspot.com - Taiwan Power Company intends to procure 375,000 metric tons of low sulfur sub-bituminous coal for Taipower thermal power plant ...
Thursday, 26 April 12
ADK SHIPPED 28,000 TONNES OF COAL THIS MONTH
COALspot.com - Orpheus Energy (ASX:OEG) has announced that four coal barges carrying a total of approximately 28,000 tonnes of ADK (Alam Duta K ...
Thursday, 26 April 12
DRY BULK CARRIERS RENTER FLEET AFTER IDLING, ON MARKETS RECOVERY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market seems to be back on track, not only solidifying the gains of the past couple of weeks, but also racing to new heights, recuperra ...
Thursday, 26 April 12
PANAMAXES AGAIN EARN MORE THAN CAPESIZES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The latest surge of demand for Panamaxes has led the dry bulk market to new higher ground on Monday, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) reaching 1,090 ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PTC India Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The University of Queensland
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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