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Friday, 30 March 12
RECOND NUMBERS SURROUNDING THE SUPRAMAX DRY BULK MARKET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Last year proved to be both a record year in the number of deliveries of dry bulkers between 40,000dwt and 64,000dwt, as well as a record year in the percentage of cancellations and delays witnessed. According to a recent report from shipbroker Intermodal, "at the same time for 2012 we have already seen around 53 vessels being delivered so far, while another 437 are scheduled for delivery till the end of the year. This is the majority of the current orderbook accounting for just over 72 percent of its total.
With the overcapacity issue having already made its presence felt in the first two months of 2012, it is anticipated that the percentage of orders being delayed or cancelled is likely to accelerate this year, greatly outpacing what was seen in 2011. However even taking a modest approach, whereby expecting an equal rate of cancellations and delays as last year, at least 140 of the vessels scheduled for delivery for 2012, are unlikely to have entered the water by the end of the year.
"Simultaneously, there has been a growing interest in the new Ultramax designs, were we have already seen 9 vessels delivered in 2010, 20 in 2011 and another 4 this year so far. With many owners now unwilling to further add to the growing overcapacity problem, new orders this year have mainly focused on designs that offer any cost advantage when compared to the already in service fleet. These new Ultramax designs have offered much improvement in fuel efficiency while adding further cargo capacity when compared to the typical supramax designs" said Intermodal’s George Dimitriadis.
He concluded by mentioning that “few owners however, seem convinced of the benefits they will bring and even more that they will not be much better off than the rest of the fleet in period of poor freight market conditions. The truth is that, parcel sizes are unlikely to change that soon to accommodate the larger carrying capacity, while on the fuel efficiency part it seems as though the difference in consumption is relatively small, while with the ever increasing bunker prices, we are likely to see newer designs offering much higher fuel economy” said Dimitriadis.
In a separate report from Intermodal, George Eliades examined the latest data from China. He said that “with recent estimates putting Chinese growth below the levels originally hoped for, the shipping markets have started to feel the strain. Having said that growth levels are still more bullish then what has been witnessed lately in the commodities market, while the China’s economic policy priority has remained to maintain relatively fast growth. The question that has arisen these past months is as to what extent Beijing is willing to guard against inflation risks in favour of measure to push for faster growth.
China’s reforms to rebalance its economy have gone way beyond the housing sector and will continue to be targeted towards achieving relatively fast growth and stable prices that should help total trade maintain double digit growth this year, according to a recent speech given by Vice Premier Li Keqiang. "We will make policies more targeted, flexible and forward-looking to maintain relatively fast economic growth and keep price levels basically stable," he said in a speech at an economic policy conference. Li said that there were some encouraging signs emerging about the pace of global economic recovery, and forecast that China's total trade would top $10 trillion in the five years 2011-2015, but added that the outlook was not certain, with efforts to resolve Europe's debt crisis still evolving.
How does this translate for the shipping sector? “Well fears of a slowdown in China’s growth coupled with the poor performance of the US and European economies has already been well reflected in the dry commodities trade. Overall it has proven to be a slow start to the year. At the same time one must take into consideration that the market has fared considerably well if one takes into account the fact that we are undergoing a considerable increase in the number of vessels, while the intense stockpiling that went on before the start of the New year has led to a below average demand for cargoes in the first quarter. Having said that, with China’s policies now directly set to boost its trade growth, America showing signs of a slow but steady recovery and Europe looking to have smoothed out most of its major sovereign debt problems, dry bulk trade could start to pick up once again over the next quarter and although the oversupply issue continues, a more positive outlook maybe in the works after all” concluded Eliades.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Thursday, 26 January 12
ABM INVESTAMA SEALS US$100 MIO CONTRACT - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, PT Reswara Minergi Hartama, a subsidary of PT ABM Investama Tbk (ABMM), has sealed a 2 million tons of coal export co ...
Thursday, 26 January 12
DRY BULK MARKETS DOWNFALL KNOWS NO LIMITS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market’s demise seems to have no visible end, as China’s Lunar Year Holidays continue this week, thus leaving demand with n ...
Wednesday, 25 January 12
CLEAN AND CLEAR MINING PERMITS TO BE COMPLETED END OF 2012 - BISNIS.COM
Bisnis.com reported that, the government plans to announce 700 mining permits with "clean and clear" status without overlapping on other p ...
Tuesday, 24 January 12
ANOTHER SEVERE DROP IN THE CAPESIZE - BRS
The lunar year celebrations and the high number of new building deliveries (more than 35 Capes so far in January as owners push 2011 deliveries into ...
Tuesday, 24 January 12
BUKIT ASAM FY11 NET PROFIT SURGES 50% - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, the state-controlled PT Bukit Asam Tbk (PTBA) estimated to book Rp3 trillion (approximately US$ 335,570,469) net prof ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Coal Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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